Cid Gomes (PSB) holds the strongest position for first place in Ceará’s October 4 Senate contest, backed by consistent leads or narrow edges in recent polling aggregates that treat combined first- and second-choice votes. September surveys from Quaest and Datafolha placed him at 24–25 percent, ahead of Capitão Wagner (União) at 21 percent and Luizianne Lins (Rede) at 18–19 percent, with margins of error rendering the top three technically competitive yet Cid numerically ahead. As the incumbent aligned with the state’s governing coalition, Gomes benefits from name recognition and ticket dynamics, while Wagner draws support from the opposing Ciro Gomes-aligned bloc and Lins shares the same slate. Lower-polling names such as Alcides Fernandes remain distant, and no major late-campaign shifts have altered the ordering in the final weeks before voting.