Wang Mei-hui of the Democratic Progressive Party holds an implied probability near 78% in the Chiayi City mayoral market ahead of the November 28, 2026 vote, reflecting her established local profile as the city’s legislative representative and consistent polling leads over the joint opposition candidate. The Taiwan People’s Party’s Chang Chi-kai, backed by a KMT-TPP alliance after joint polling, trails at around 20%, with the unified front and support from term-limited incumbent Huang Min-hui providing the main counterweight. Minor candidates including Chen Chia-ping, Weng Shou-liang, Huang Hung-cheng, and Chen Kai-huang register negligible shares. Recent surveys from April through July showed Wang ahead by 4–6 points, and traders appear to view the DPP’s structural position in the city as durable despite the blue-white coordination and shared emphasis on infrastructure priorities such as light rail.