Recent monthly CPI prints have shown subdued price pressures, with the July 2026 reading easing to 0.5% year-on-year amid falling food costs (especially pork) from ample supply and soft household spending, while non-food inflation moderated further due to fuel-price adjustments and easing global energy effects. Year-to-date averages hover near 1.0%, and consensus forecasts from the ADB, Reuters polls, and others cluster around 1.0-1.2% for the full year, reflecting persistent weak domestic demand despite targeted stimulus and slower GDP growth projected near 4.5-4.6%. Traders assign the highest probability to the 0.6-1.0% band because core measures remain contained and no major demand rebound has materialized through mid-August, though upside risks include potential additional policy support or commodity shifts that could lift readings into the low-1% range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedChina Annual Inflation 2026
China Annual Inflation 2026
0.6 – 1.0% 52%
0.1 – 0.5% 17.6%
1.1 – 1.5% 15%
2.0-2.4% 5.8%
$72,811 Vol.
$72,811 Vol.
Jan 10, 2027
<-1.0%
3%
-0.9 – -0.5%
1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
2%
0.1 – 0.5%
18%
0.6 – 1.0%
52%
1.1 – 1.5%
15%
1.6 – 2.0%
5%
2.0-2.4%
6%
2.5%+
<1%
0.6 – 1.0% 52%
0.1 – 0.5% 17.6%
1.1 – 1.5% 15%
2.0-2.4% 5.8%
$72,811 Vol.
$72,811 Vol.
Jan 10, 2027
<-1.0%
$19,736 Vol.
3%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$3,327 Vol.
1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
$4,597 Vol.
2%
0.1 – 0.5%
$4,841 Vol.
18%
0.6 – 1.0%
$8,981 Vol.
52%
1.1 – 1.5%
$13,650 Vol.
15%
1.6 – 2.0%
$6,462 Vol.
5%
2.0-2.4%
$7,874 Vol.
6%
2.5%+
$3,344 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent monthly CPI prints have shown subdued price pressures, with the July 2026 reading easing to 0.5% year-on-year amid falling food costs (especially pork) from ample supply and soft household spending, while non-food inflation moderated further due to fuel-price adjustments and easing global energy effects. Year-to-date averages hover near 1.0%, and consensus forecasts from the ADB, Reuters polls, and others cluster around 1.0-1.2% for the full year, reflecting persistent weak domestic demand despite targeted stimulus and slower GDP growth projected near 4.5-4.6%. Traders assign the highest probability to the 0.6-1.0% band because core measures remain contained and no major demand rebound has materialized through mid-August, though upside risks include potential additional policy support or commodity shifts that could lift readings into the low-1% range.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Market Opened: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Volume
$72,811End Date
Jan 10, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent monthly CPI prints have shown subdued price pressures, with the July 2026 reading easing to 0.5% year-on-year amid falling food costs (especially pork) from ample supply and soft household spending, while non-food inflation moderated further due to fuel-price adjustments and easing global energy effects. Year-to-date averages hover near 1.0%, and consensus forecasts from the ADB, Reuters polls, and others cluster around 1.0-1.2% for the full year, reflecting persistent weak domestic demand despite targeted stimulus and slower GDP growth projected near 4.5-4.6%. Traders assign the highest probability to the 0.6-1.0% band because core measures remain contained and no major demand rebound has materialized through mid-August, though upside risks include potential additional policy support or commodity shifts that could lift readings into the low-1% range.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volume
$72,811End Date
Jan 10, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent monthly CPI prints have shown subdued price pressures, with the July 2026 reading easing to 0.5% year-on-year amid falling food costs (especially pork) from ample supply and soft household spending, while non-food inflation moderated further due to fuel-price adjustments and easing global energy effects. Year-to-date averages hover near 1.0%, and consensus forecasts from the ADB, Reuters polls, and others cluster around 1.0-1.2% for the full year, reflecting persistent weak domestic demand despite targeted stimulus and slower GDP growth projected near 4.5-4.6%. Traders assign the highest probability to the 0.6-1.0% band because core measures remain contained and no major demand rebound has materialized through mid-August, though upside risks include potential additional policy support or commodity shifts that could lift readings into the low-1% range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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