Both open Democratic Senate seats in states narrowly won by Republicans in the 2024 presidential election feature nominees whose post-primary consolidation has produced competitive general-election polling. In Michigan, progressive Democrat Abdul El-Sayed faces former Representative Mike Rogers in a race rated a toss-up by multiple forecasters, with recent surveys showing margins of 1–5 points and frequent ties or single-digit leads. In New Hampshire, Representative Chris Pappas holds a steadier but still modest edge over former Senator John E. Sununu, with averages near 5 points. Late-October polling releases, turnout patterns among independents and suburban voters, and any national economic or tariff developments could narrow or widen either margin before November 3.