Ella Langley’s commanding 70.5% implied probability in the CMA Female Vocalist of the Year market stems directly from her record-tying nine nominations at the 60th CMA Awards, announced September 10, which include the category alongside entertainer, album, and dual single/song nods for the blockbuster “Choosin’ Texas” and follow-up “Be Her.” Her sophomore album *Dandelion* and historic chart dominance across country and pop formats have fueled strong industry momentum and voter consensus. The remaining nominees—Lainey Wilson, Miranda Lambert, Megan Moroney, and Kacey Musgraves—sit far behind at single-digit probabilities, reflecting Langley’s sweep of recent commercial and precursor indicators. With the November 18 ceremony still two months away, traders appear to view her frontrunner status as durable absent any late campaign shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCMA Female Vocalist of the Year 2026
CMA Female Vocalist of the Year 2026
Ella Langley 75%
Lainey Wilson 16.1%
Miranda Lambert 11%
Kacey Musgraves 2.3%
NEW
NEW
Nov 18, 2026
Ella Langley
75%
Lainey Wilson
16%
Miranda Lambert
11%
Kacey Musgraves
2%
Megan Moroney
<1%
Ella Langley 75%
Lainey Wilson 16.1%
Miranda Lambert 11%
Kacey Musgraves 2.3%
NEW
NEW
Nov 18, 2026
Ella Langley
$5,020 Vol.
75%
Lainey Wilson
$804 Vol.
16%
Miranda Lambert
$3,207 Vol.
11%
Kacey Musgraves
$92 Vol.
2%
Megan Moroney
$92 Vol.
<1%
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year.
If a listed artist is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning artist whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ella Langley’s commanding 70.5% implied probability in the CMA Female Vocalist of the Year market stems directly from her record-tying nine nominations at the 60th CMA Awards, announced September 10, which include the category alongside entertainer, album, and dual single/song nods for the blockbuster “Choosin’ Texas” and follow-up “Be Her.” Her sophomore album *Dandelion* and historic chart dominance across country and pop formats have fueled strong industry momentum and voter consensus. The remaining nominees—Lainey Wilson, Miranda Lambert, Megan Moroney, and Kacey Musgraves—sit far behind at single-digit probabilities, reflecting Langley’s sweep of recent commercial and precursor indicators. With the November 18 ceremony still two months away, traders appear to view her frontrunner status as durable absent any late campaign shifts.
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year.
If a listed artist is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning artist whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year.
If a listed artist is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning artist whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
Volume
$9,214End Date
Nov 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year.
If a listed artist is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning artist whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ella Langley’s commanding 70.5% implied probability in the CMA Female Vocalist of the Year market stems directly from her record-tying nine nominations at the 60th CMA Awards, announced September 10, which include the category alongside entertainer, album, and dual single/song nods for the blockbuster “Choosin’ Texas” and follow-up “Be Her.” Her sophomore album *Dandelion* and historic chart dominance across country and pop formats have fueled strong industry momentum and voter consensus. The remaining nominees—Lainey Wilson, Miranda Lambert, Megan Moroney, and Kacey Musgraves—sit far behind at single-digit probabilities, reflecting Langley’s sweep of recent commercial and precursor indicators. With the November 18 ceremony still two months away, traders appear to view her frontrunner status as durable absent any late campaign shifts.
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year.
If a listed artist is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning artist whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year.
If a listed artist is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning artist whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,214End Date
Nov 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ella Langley’s commanding 70.5% implied probability in the CMA Female Vocalist of the Year market stems directly from her record-tying nine nominations at the 60th CMA Awards, announced September 10, which include the category alongside entertainer, album, and dual single/song nods for the blockbuster “Choosin’ Texas” and follow-up “Be Her.” Her sophomore album *Dandelion* and historic chart dominance across country and pop formats have fueled strong industry momentum and voter consensus. The remaining nominees—Lainey Wilson, Miranda Lambert, Megan Moroney, and Kacey Musgraves—sit far behind at single-digit probabilities, reflecting Langley’s sweep of recent commercial and precursor indicators. With the November 18 ceremony still two months away, traders appear to view her frontrunner status as durable absent any late campaign shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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