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icon for CMA Musician of the Year 2026

CMA Musician of the Year 2026

icon for CMA Musician of the Year 2026

CMA Musician of the Year 2026

Charlie Worsham 33%

Paul Franklin 29%

Jenee Fleenor 16%

Rob McNelley 12.2%

Polymarket
NEW

Charlie Worsham 33%

Paul Franklin 29%

Jenee Fleenor 16%

Rob McNelley 12.2%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Charlie Worsham

Charlie Worsham

$3,399 Vol.

33%

icon for Paul Franklin

Paul Franklin

$413 Vol.

29%

icon for Jenee Fleenor

Jenee Fleenor

$1,180 Vol.

16%

icon for Rob McNelley

Rob McNelley

$45 Vol.

12%

icon for Tom Bukovac

Tom Bukovac

$45 Vol.

11%

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed musician who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Musician of the Year. If a listed musician is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Musician of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning musician whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nominations for the 2026 CMA Musician of the Year, announced September 10, set the current market dynamics, with Charlie Worsham holding the highest implied probability at 32.5% among the five finalists. Worsham’s edge stems from his 2024 win, high-profile session and touring work with major artists, recent Grand Ole Opry induction, and August album release that reinforced his reputation as a versatile guitar virtuoso. Paul Franklin trails closely at 28.5% on the strength of his 2025 victory and consistent steel-guitar credits, while Jenee Fleenor, Rob McNelley, and Tom Bukovac sit lower, reflecting strong but less dominant recent momentum in fiddle and guitar circles. Voting closes October 27 ahead of the November 18 ceremony, leaving room for late shifts based on guild and peer sentiment.

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed musician who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Musician of the Year.

If a listed musician is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Musician of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning musician whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed musician who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Musician of the Year. If a listed musician is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Musician of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning musician whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,083
End Date
Nov 19, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 7:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed musician who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Musician of the Year. If a listed musician is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Musician of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning musician whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nominations for the 2026 CMA Musician of the Year, announced September 10, set the current market dynamics, with Charlie Worsham holding the highest implied probability at 32.5% among the five finalists. Worsham’s edge stems from his 2024 win, high-profile session and touring work with major artists, recent Grand Ole Opry induction, and August album release that reinforced his reputation as a versatile guitar virtuoso. Paul Franklin trails closely at 28.5% on the strength of his 2025 victory and consistent steel-guitar credits, while Jenee Fleenor, Rob McNelley, and Tom Bukovac sit lower, reflecting strong but less dominant recent momentum in fiddle and guitar circles. Voting closes October 27 ahead of the November 18 ceremony, leaving room for late shifts based on guild and peer sentiment.

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed musician who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Musician of the Year.

If a listed musician is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Musician of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning musician whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed musician who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Musician of the Year. If a listed musician is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Musician of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning musician whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,083
End Date
Nov 19, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 7:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"CMA Musician of the Year 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Charlie Worsham" at 33%, followed by "Paul Franklin" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"CMA Musician of the Year 2026" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "CMA Musician of the Year 2026," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "CMA Musician of the Year 2026" is "Charlie Worsham" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Paul Franklin" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "CMA Musician of the Year 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.