Costa Rica leads trader consensus at 33.8% implied probability for the 2027 Concacaf Gold Cup title, narrowly ahead of Mexico at 31.5% and Guatemala at 25.4%, with several other nations clustered in the teens. This tight distribution stems from Mexico’s status as reigning champion after its 2025 final win over the United States, balanced against Costa Rica’s strong recent Nations League and World Cup qualifying results plus Guatemala’s improved depth. The confirmed qualification pathway—direct berths via the Concacaf Nations League, seven preliminary playoff winners, and Saudi Arabia’s return as guest—creates multiple viable paths that reward current form and ranking momentum over historical dominance alone. Traders appear to price in the region’s competitive balance ahead of the March 2027 prelims and the main tournament.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDominican Republic 41.3%
Martinique 40.4%
United States 22%
Curacao 21%
Dominican Republic
41%
Martinique
40%
United States
31%
Curacao
21%
Costa Rica
18%
Canada
18%
Suriname
14%
Nicaragua
14%
Saudi Arabia
18%
Honduras
8%
Jamaica
8%
Panama
6%
Guatemala
4%
Haiti
4%
El Salvador
4%
Trinidad and Tobago
4%
Mexico
33%
Dominican Republic 41.3%
Martinique 40.4%
United States 22%
Curacao 21%
Dominican Republic
41%
Martinique
40%
United States
31%
Curacao
21%
Costa Rica
18%
Canada
18%
Suriname
14%
Nicaragua
14%
Saudi Arabia
18%
Honduras
8%
Jamaica
8%
Panama
6%
Guatemala
4%
Haiti
4%
El Salvador
4%
Trinidad and Tobago
4%
Mexico
33%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup per the rules of CONCACAF (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from CONCACAF; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 11:47 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup per the rules of CONCACAF (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from CONCACAF; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Costa Rica leads trader consensus at 33.8% implied probability for the 2027 Concacaf Gold Cup title, narrowly ahead of Mexico at 31.5% and Guatemala at 25.4%, with several other nations clustered in the teens. This tight distribution stems from Mexico’s status as reigning champion after its 2025 final win over the United States, balanced against Costa Rica’s strong recent Nations League and World Cup qualifying results plus Guatemala’s improved depth. The confirmed qualification pathway—direct berths via the Concacaf Nations League, seven preliminary playoff winners, and Saudi Arabia’s return as guest—creates multiple viable paths that reward current form and ranking momentum over historical dominance alone. Traders appear to price in the region’s competitive balance ahead of the March 2027 prelims and the main tournament.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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