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Sports·Soccer

MLS Cup Winner 2026

icon for MLS Cup Winner 2026
Sports·Soccer

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Inter Miami CF 29%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC 14.8%

Los Angeles FC 12%

Nashville SC 9.3%

Polymarket

$19,640,153 Vol.

Inter Miami CF 29%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC 14.8%

Los Angeles FC 12%

Nashville SC 9.3%

Polymarket

$19,640,153 Vol.

Inter Miami CF

$83,627 Vol.

29%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

$381,398 Vol.

15%

Los Angeles FC

$46,641 Vol.

12%

Nashville SC

$313,141 Vol.

9%

Chicago Fire FC

$243,681 Vol.

5%

FC Cincinnati

$1,585,565 Vol.

4%

Seattle Sounders FC

$862,035 Vol.

4%

San Jose Earthquakes

$1,163,709 Vol.

2%

Orlando City SC

$2,364,020 Vol.

2%

Houston Dynamo FC

$464,794 Vol.

2%

New York City FC

$696,645 Vol.

2%

New York Red Bulls

$609,608 Vol.

2%

Real Salt Lake

$2,947,810 Vol.

2%

San Diego FC

$1,220,229 Vol.

2%

New England Revolution

$60,502 Vol.

1%

Charlotte FC

$2,011,779 Vol.

1%

Columbus Crew

$3,112,835 Vol.

1%

FC Dallas

$88,804 Vol.

1%

LA Galaxy

$24,055 Vol.

1%

St. Louis City SC

$89,079 Vol.

1%

Minnesota United FC

$479,657 Vol.

1%

D.C. United

$18,829 Vol.

1%

Portland Timbers

$94,581 Vol.

<1%

Atlanta United FC

$102,269 Vol.

<1%

Toronto FC

$37,866 Vol.

<1%

Colorado Rapids

$118,376 Vol.

<1%

CF Montréal

$62,346 Vol.

<1%

Philadelphia Union

$209,135 Vol.

<1%

Sporting Kansas City

$67,668 Vol.

<1%

Austin FC

$79,468 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Inter Miami CF holds the highest implied probability as defending 2025 MLS Cup champions, buoyed by Lionel Messi’s ongoing influence, a potent attack, and a solid midseason Eastern Conference standing behind Nashville SC. Vancouver Whitecaps FC and LAFC follow closely due to consistent Western Conference results, strong goal differentials, and regular-season momentum that positions them for deep playoff runs. Nashville SC tops the overall points table through defensive structure yet trails in market pricing, reflecting traders’ emphasis on historical postseason experience and roster depth over current standings. The broad distribution across 30 teams highlights MLS parity, where late-season form, injuries, and conference matchups can quickly reshape outcomes for contenders like FC Cincinnati and Seattle Sounders.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$19,640,153
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Inter Miami CF holds the highest implied probability as defending 2025 MLS Cup champions, buoyed by Lionel Messi’s ongoing influence, a potent attack, and a solid midseason Eastern Conference standing behind Nashville SC. Vancouver Whitecaps FC and LAFC follow closely due to consistent Western Conference results, strong goal differentials, and regular-season momentum that positions them for deep playoff runs. Nashville SC tops the overall points table through defensive structure yet trails in market pricing, reflecting traders’ emphasis on historical postseason experience and roster depth over current standings. The broad distribution across 30 teams highlights MLS parity, where late-season form, injuries, and conference matchups can quickly reshape outcomes for contenders like FC Cincinnati and Seattle Sounders.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$19,640,153
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLS Cup Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Inter Miami CF" at 28%, followed by "Vancouver Whitecaps FC" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLS Cup Winner 2026" has generated $19.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLS Cup Winner 2026," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLS Cup Winner 2026" is "Inter Miami CF" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Vancouver Whitecaps FC" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLS Cup Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.