Brian Schmetzer’s Seattle Sounders lead the MLS 2026 Coach of the Year market at 47.9% implied probability after establishing a league-longest nine-game unbeaten streak through mid-May, reflecting consistent results in a competitive Western Conference. Trader consensus positions Nico Estévez of Austin FC close behind at 39.1%, driven by the side’s early defensive organization and high-floor performances under his preferred structure. Marc Dos Santos and Bradley Carnell sit near 38% as their clubs post strong starts and solid home records. Recent form, including Seattle’s extended run without defeat and Austin’s shot-stopping efficiency, explains the tight grouping among top candidates, while lower-priced names like Tata Martino and Robin Fraser trail amid middling results or roster transitions. These probabilities capture the wisdom of crowds reacting to confirmed early-season trends rather than long-term projections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRobin Fraser 58.5%
Henrik Rydström 57.3%
Eric Quill 56.3%
Matt Wells 56.1%
$18,135 Vol.
$18,135 Vol.
Robin Fraser
59%
Henrik Rydström
57%
Eric Quill
56%
Matt Wells
56%
B.J. Callaghan
55%
Pascal Jansen
53%
Bruce Arena
46%
Raphael Wicky
43%
Jesper Sørensen
41%
Marc Dos Santos
39%
Bradley Carnell
39%
Gregg Berhalter
35%
Michael Bradley
31%
Marko Mitrović
31%
Pablo Mastroeni
28%
Pat Noonan
4%
Phil Neville
3%
Mikey Varas
17%
Marco Donadel
3%
Óscar Pareja
3%
Greg Vanney
1%
Yoann Damet
<1%
Nico Estévez
-
Dean Smith
-
Cameron Knowles
28%
Gerardo “Tata” Martino
-
René Weiler
28%
Ben Olsen
29%
Javier Mascherano
38%
Brian Schmetzer
-
Robin Fraser 58.5%
Henrik Rydström 57.3%
Eric Quill 56.3%
Matt Wells 56.1%
$18,135 Vol.
$18,135 Vol.
Robin Fraser
59%
Henrik Rydström
57%
Eric Quill
56%
Matt Wells
56%
B.J. Callaghan
55%
Pascal Jansen
53%
Bruce Arena
46%
Raphael Wicky
43%
Jesper Sørensen
41%
Marc Dos Santos
39%
Bradley Carnell
39%
Gregg Berhalter
35%
Michael Bradley
31%
Marko Mitrović
31%
Pablo Mastroeni
28%
Pat Noonan
4%
Phil Neville
3%
Mikey Varas
17%
Marco Donadel
3%
Óscar Pareja
3%
Greg Vanney
1%
Yoann Damet
<1%
Nico Estévez
-
Dean Smith
-
Cameron Knowles
28%
Gerardo “Tata” Martino
-
René Weiler
28%
Ben Olsen
29%
Javier Mascherano
38%
Brian Schmetzer
-
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 17, 2026, 3:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Brian Schmetzer’s Seattle Sounders lead the MLS 2026 Coach of the Year market at 47.9% implied probability after establishing a league-longest nine-game unbeaten streak through mid-May, reflecting consistent results in a competitive Western Conference. Trader consensus positions Nico Estévez of Austin FC close behind at 39.1%, driven by the side’s early defensive organization and high-floor performances under his preferred structure. Marc Dos Santos and Bradley Carnell sit near 38% as their clubs post strong starts and solid home records. Recent form, including Seattle’s extended run without defeat and Austin’s shot-stopping efficiency, explains the tight grouping among top candidates, while lower-priced names like Tata Martino and Robin Fraser trail amid middling results or roster transitions. These probabilities capture the wisdom of crowds reacting to confirmed early-season trends rather than long-term projections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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