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icon for E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?
Politics·Trump

E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?

icon for E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?
Politics·Trump

E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?

$1,140 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,140 Vol.

Polymarket

December 31

$13 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of E. Jean Carroll between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The primary driver of trader sentiment centers on a reported May 2026 Department of Justice criminal probe into potential perjury by E. Jean Carroll concerning lawsuit funding during her civil cases against President Trump, though one U.S. Attorney has publicly denied any such investigation by his office. This development coincides with ongoing Supreme Court appeals by Trump and the DOJ seeking to overturn the $83.3 million defamation verdict under the Westfall Act, which could shield official-capacity statements. No federal charges have been filed to date, and outcomes remain uncertain given standard DOJ charging thresholds for perjury, the political context of the underlying litigation, and the absence of confirmed referrals or indictments. SCOTUS decisions on the appeals represent the most immediate events that could influence whether any prosecution advances.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of E. Jean Carroll between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,140
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 5:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of E. Jean Carroll between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of E. Jean Carroll between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The primary driver of trader sentiment centers on a reported May 2026 Department of Justice criminal probe into potential perjury by E. Jean Carroll concerning lawsuit funding during her civil cases against President Trump, though one U.S. Attorney has publicly denied any such investigation by his office. This development coincides with ongoing Supreme Court appeals by Trump and the DOJ seeking to overturn the $83.3 million defamation verdict under the Westfall Act, which could shield official-capacity statements. No federal charges have been filed to date, and outcomes remain uncertain given standard DOJ charging thresholds for perjury, the political context of the underlying litigation, and the absence of confirmed referrals or indictments. SCOTUS decisions on the appeals represent the most immediate events that could influence whether any prosecution advances.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of E. Jean Carroll between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,140
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 5:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of E. Jean Carroll between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 49%, followed by "June 30" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?" is "December 31" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "June 30" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.