US birthright citizenship for Eileen Gu remains firmly intact under established law, with no formal revocation proceedings, expatriation filings, or administrative actions reported through 2026. Traders assign near-certain probability to the outcome holding because she continues residing and studying in the United States, competing under Chinese eligibility without triggering documented loss of US status, and faces only public criticism rather than institutional challenges from agencies or courts. Recent Olympic participation and endorsement activity have sustained the status quo without introducing new catalysts for change. Realistic shifts could arise only from rare legal developments such as proven voluntary renunciation, specific criminal convictions tied to expatriation rules, or unprecedented policy enforcement targeting dual-national athletes—none of which show signs of materializing in current records.