**Eurozone annual HICP inflation for 2026 is trading with the strongest implied probability on outcomes of 3.1% or higher, reflecting upward revisions in official forecasts driven by persistent energy-price pressures.** Recent July 2026 data showed headline inflation rising to 2.9% from 2.8% in June, led by a surge in energy components to around 10% year-over-year amid renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East that have lifted oil and gas prices. The European Commission’s Spring 2026 forecast now projects euro-area inflation averaging 3.0% for the full year—revised sharply higher from prior estimates—while the ECB’s Survey of Professional Forecasters places the 2026 average at 2.7%, with risks tilted to the upside in the near term. Market-implied odds therefore embed expectations that the energy shock will keep the annual average above 2.8%, consistent with current spot inflation prints, futures curves, and the European Central Bank’s acknowledgment that inflation will remain elevated through 2026 before converging toward target only later. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming Eurostat releases, any further escalation or de-escalation in energy markets, and the next ECB staff projections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEurozone Annual Inflation 2026
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
3.1%+ 59.9%
2.8-3.0% 16.6%
<1.0% 7.9%
2.5–2.7% 6.6%
$104,773 Vol.
$104,773 Vol.
Jan 19, 2027
<1.0%
8%
1.0–1.2%
4%
1.3–1.5%
1%
1.6–1.8%
5%
1.9–2.1%
1%
2.2–2.4%
6%
2.5–2.7%
7%
2.8-3.0%
17%
3.1%+
60%
3.1%+ 59.9%
2.8-3.0% 16.6%
<1.0% 7.9%
2.5–2.7% 6.6%
$104,773 Vol.
$104,773 Vol.
Jan 19, 2027
<1.0%
$4,287 Vol.
8%
1.0–1.2%
$16,065 Vol.
4%
1.3–1.5%
$16,210 Vol.
1%
1.6–1.8%
$3,303 Vol.
5%
1.9–2.1%
$25,461 Vol.
1%
2.2–2.4%
$4,216 Vol.
6%
2.5–2.7%
$7,289 Vol.
7%
2.8-3.0%
$16,499 Vol.
17%
3.1%+
$11,444 Vol.
60%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html**Eurozone annual HICP inflation for 2026 is trading with the strongest implied probability on outcomes of 3.1% or higher, reflecting upward revisions in official forecasts driven by persistent energy-price pressures.**
Recent July 2026 data showed headline inflation rising to 2.9% from 2.8% in June, led by a surge in energy components to around 10% year-over-year amid renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East that have lifted oil and gas prices. The European Commission’s Spring 2026 forecast now projects euro-area inflation averaging 3.0% for the full year—revised sharply higher from prior estimates—while the ECB’s Survey of Professional Forecasters places the 2026 average at 2.7%, with risks tilted to the upside in the near term.
Market-implied odds therefore embed expectations that the energy shock will keep the annual average above 2.8%, consistent with current spot inflation prints, futures curves, and the European Central Bank’s acknowledgment that inflation will remain elevated through 2026 before converging toward target only later. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming Eurostat releases, any further escalation or de-escalation in energy markets, and the next ECB staff projections.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Market Opened: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Volume
$104,773End Date
Jan 19, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html**Eurozone annual HICP inflation for 2026 is trading with the strongest implied probability on outcomes of 3.1% or higher, reflecting upward revisions in official forecasts driven by persistent energy-price pressures.**
Recent July 2026 data showed headline inflation rising to 2.9% from 2.8% in June, led by a surge in energy components to around 10% year-over-year amid renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East that have lifted oil and gas prices. The European Commission’s Spring 2026 forecast now projects euro-area inflation averaging 3.0% for the full year—revised sharply higher from prior estimates—while the ECB’s Survey of Professional Forecasters places the 2026 average at 2.7%, with risks tilted to the upside in the near term.
Market-implied odds therefore embed expectations that the energy shock will keep the annual average above 2.8%, consistent with current spot inflation prints, futures curves, and the European Central Bank’s acknowledgment that inflation will remain elevated through 2026 before converging toward target only later. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming Eurostat releases, any further escalation or de-escalation in energy markets, and the next ECB staff projections.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Volume
$104,773End Date
Jan 19, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Eurozone annual HICP inflation for 2026 is trading with the strongest implied probability on outcomes of 3.1% or higher, reflecting upward revisions in official forecasts driven by persistent energy-price pressures.** Recent July 2026 data showed headline inflation rising to 2.9% from 2.8% in June, led by a surge in energy components to around 10% year-over-year amid renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East that have lifted oil and gas prices. The European Commission’s Spring 2026 forecast now projects euro-area inflation averaging 3.0% for the full year—revised sharply higher from prior estimates—while the ECB’s Survey of Professional Forecasters places the 2026 average at 2.7%, with risks tilted to the upside in the near term. Market-implied odds therefore embed expectations that the energy shock will keep the annual average above 2.8%, consistent with current spot inflation prints, futures curves, and the European Central Bank’s acknowledgment that inflation will remain elevated through 2026 before converging toward target only later. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming Eurostat releases, any further escalation or de-escalation in energy markets, and the next ECB staff projections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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