The Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez’s history of incidents in the stadium section and high-speed esses has produced full safety car periods in roughly 40-50% of editions since 2015, creating near-even trader expectations for the 2026 race. High altitude above 2,200 meters stresses 2026 power units with increased electric output and revised cooling demands, raising the chance of reliability issues or spins that trigger interventions. Dry conditions and strong recent form from front-runners support a green-flag finish, while any rain forecast or early-season teething problems with the new regulations could quickly shift the balance toward a deployment.