The tightly bunched probabilities around 45–48% for Lewis Hamilton, Gabriel Bortoleto, Oscar Piastri, Charles Leclerc, Lando Norris, Kimi Antonelli, Max Verstappen, and George Russell reflect the high uncertainty of Singapore’s first Sprint weekend on the demanding Marina Bay street circuit. With only one practice session before Sprint Qualifying, teams face limited setup time on a layout that rewards precise handling, tire management, and overtaking under lights. Recent form adds to the parity: Verstappen claimed victory in the preceding Bahrain GP at Sepang while Antonelli extended his championship lead, Mercedes and Ferrari remain strong in qualifying pace, and McLaren continues to show race-day speed despite inconsistencies. The 100 km Sprint format, awarding points only to the top eight, further compresses outcomes among frontrunners with comparable machinery and recent momentum.