Florida's 7th Congressional District leans Republican based on its Partisan Voter Index and recent election results, giving Republican nominee Ryan Elijah an edge in the November 3 general election. Elijah, a former news anchor, defeated incumbent Cory Mills in the August 18 Republican primary amid ethics investigations and scandals surrounding Mills. Democrat Bale Dalton, a Navy veteran and former NASA chief of staff, won his party's primary and has emphasized anti-corruption measures while criticizing Elijah on stock trading disclosures and policy positions. Forecasters rate the seat Likely or Lean Republican. Recent campaign activity includes ads on taxes and foreign policy, an Orlando Sentinel endorsement for Dalton, and Trump's backing for Elijah, with early voting set to begin October 19.