**Beatriz Mojica Morga’s selection as Morena’s state coordinator for the defense of the transformation on September 14, 2026, after prevailing in the party’s internal survey process over more than a dozen aspirants, has positioned her as the clear frontrunner for the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition nomination in the June 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial election.** Recent polling from El Financiero shows her leading hypothetical matchups with 44% support against PRI’s Manuel Añorve Baños at 14%, reflecting Morena’s dominant standing in the state under incumbent Evelyn Salgado. President Claudia Sheinbaum’s public endorsement of the outcome and Mojica’s meetings signaling unity with local figures such as Félix Salgado have reinforced party cohesion. Other listed contenders remain at minimal implied probabilities because they lack comparable momentum or coalition backing at this stage, with the election still nine months away and subject to potential shifts from later developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeatriz Mojica Morga 80.5%
Manuel Añorve Baños 11.1%
Esthela Damián Peralta 5.5%
Mario Moreno Arcos 1.1%
$78,652 Vol.
$78,652 Vol.
Beatriz Mojica Morga
81%
Manuel Añorve Baños
11%
Esthela Damián Peralta
5%
Mario Moreno Arcos
1%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
<1%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
<1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
<1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
<1%
Julián López Galeana
<1%
Erika Lorena Lührs
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
<1%
Alberto López Rosas
<1%
Iván Hernández Díaz
<1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
<1%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
<1%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
<1%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
<1%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
<1%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
Beatriz Mojica Morga 80.5%
Manuel Añorve Baños 11.1%
Esthela Damián Peralta 5.5%
Mario Moreno Arcos 1.1%
$78,652 Vol.
$78,652 Vol.
Beatriz Mojica Morga
81%
Manuel Añorve Baños
11%
Esthela Damián Peralta
5%
Mario Moreno Arcos
1%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
<1%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
<1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
<1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
<1%
Julián López Galeana
<1%
Erika Lorena Lührs
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
<1%
Alberto López Rosas
<1%
Iván Hernández Díaz
<1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
<1%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
<1%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
<1%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
<1%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
<1%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Beatriz Mojica Morga’s selection as Morena’s state coordinator for the defense of the transformation on September 14, 2026, after prevailing in the party’s internal survey process over more than a dozen aspirants, has positioned her as the clear frontrunner for the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition nomination in the June 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial election.** Recent polling from El Financiero shows her leading hypothetical matchups with 44% support against PRI’s Manuel Añorve Baños at 14%, reflecting Morena’s dominant standing in the state under incumbent Evelyn Salgado. President Claudia Sheinbaum’s public endorsement of the outcome and Mojica’s meetings signaling unity with local figures such as Félix Salgado have reinforced party cohesion. Other listed contenders remain at minimal implied probabilities because they lack comparable momentum or coalition backing at this stage, with the election still nine months away and subject to potential shifts from later developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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