Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering performance has cemented overwhelming trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability. The Sony/Marvel release opened to a $360 million domestic weekend and $932 million globally in late July—the second-biggest debut ever—then raced past $1 billion worldwide in six days and $2 billion in three weeks while posting exceptional holdover numbers. By mid-September it had surpassed $2.48 billion worldwide, claimed the all-time domestic crown from Star Wars: The Force Awakens, and already outpaced every other 2026 title by hundreds of millions. Later releases such as Avengers: Doomsday face a steep climb to close the gap, though an unprecedented holiday run or early stalling by Brand New Day could theoretically shift momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest grossing movie in 2026?
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 94%
Avengers: Doomsday 3.7%
The Odyssey <1%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie <1%
$17,492,978 Vol.
$17,492,978 Vol.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
94%
Avengers: Doomsday
4%
The Odyssey
<1%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
<1%
Wicked: For Good
<1%
Wuthering Heights
<1%
Scream 7
<1%
Michael
<1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
<1%
Toy Story 5
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Project Hail Mary
<1%
Jumanji 3
<1%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 94%
Avengers: Doomsday 3.7%
The Odyssey <1%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie <1%
$17,492,978 Vol.
$17,492,978 Vol.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
94%
Avengers: Doomsday
4%
The Odyssey
<1%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
<1%
Wicked: For Good
<1%
Wuthering Heights
<1%
Scream 7
<1%
Michael
<1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
<1%
Toy Story 5
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Project Hail Mary
<1%
Jumanji 3
<1%
Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering performance has cemented overwhelming trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability. The Sony/Marvel release opened to a $360 million domestic weekend and $932 million globally in late July—the second-biggest debut ever—then raced past $1 billion worldwide in six days and $2 billion in three weeks while posting exceptional holdover numbers. By mid-September it had surpassed $2.48 billion worldwide, claimed the all-time domestic crown from Star Wars: The Force Awakens, and already outpaced every other 2026 title by hundreds of millions. Later releases such as Avengers: Doomsday face a steep climb to close the gap, though an unprecedented holiday run or early stalling by Brand New Day could theoretically shift momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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