Forecast uncertainty around cloud cover and precipitation is the main driver keeping Chengdu's June 21 high-temperature market odds tightly clustered between 25–28 °C. Recent model runs show light rain or thundershowers possible that day due to East Asian monsoon moisture surging into the Sichuan basin, which would suppress daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance diverges on timing and intensity of these showers, producing the spread in outcomes traders are pricing. Historical June climatology places average highs near 28–30 °C, but persistent humidity and basin topography amplify sensitivity to even modest rainfall changes. Updated short-range model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies emerge.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 21?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 21?
27°C 24%
26°C 20%
28°C 18%
25°C or below 17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 21, 2026
25°C or below
17%
26°C
20%
27°C
24%
28°C
18%
29°C
15%
30°C
9%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
27°C 24%
26°C 20%
28°C 18%
25°C or below 17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 21, 2026
25°C or below
$702 ปริมาณ
17%
26°C
$453 ปริมาณ
20%
27°C
$263 ปริมาณ
24%
28°C
$115 ปริมาณ
18%
29°C
$13 ปริมาณ
15%
30°C
$52 ปริมาณ
9%
31°C
$294 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$1,931 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C
$239 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$336 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C or higher
$446 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty around cloud cover and precipitation is the main driver keeping Chengdu's June 21 high-temperature market odds tightly clustered between 25–28 °C. Recent model runs show light rain or thundershowers possible that day due to East Asian monsoon moisture surging into the Sichuan basin, which would suppress daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance diverges on timing and intensity of these showers, producing the spread in outcomes traders are pricing. Historical June climatology places average highs near 28–30 °C, but persistent humidity and basin topography amplify sensitivity to even modest rainfall changes. Updated short-range model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies emerge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,836วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty around cloud cover and precipitation is the main driver keeping Chengdu's June 21 high-temperature market odds tightly clustered between 25–28 °C. Recent model runs show light rain or thundershowers possible that day due to East Asian monsoon moisture surging into the Sichuan basin, which would suppress daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance diverges on timing and intensity of these showers, producing the spread in outcomes traders are pricing. Historical June climatology places average highs near 28–30 °C, but persistent humidity and basin topography amplify sensitivity to even modest rainfall changes. Updated short-range model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies emerge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,836วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty around cloud cover and precipitation is the main driver keeping Chengdu's June 21 high-temperature market odds tightly clustered between 25–28 °C. Recent model runs show light rain or thundershowers possible that day due to East Asian monsoon moisture surging into the Sichuan basin, which would suppress daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance diverges on timing and intensity of these showers, producing the spread in outcomes traders are pricing. Historical June climatology places average highs near 28–30 °C, but persistent humidity and basin topography amplify sensitivity to even modest rainfall changes. Updated short-range model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies emerge.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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