Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate typical June highs of 28–32°C under the southwest monsoon, with persistent humidity above 80% and scattered showers limiting solar heating. Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C because variable cloud cover and timing of precipitation can suppress peak temperatures by 1–3°C on any given day, while brief clear intervals or reduced rainfall allow brief spikes toward 34–35°C. Historical June climatology shows a 30–32°C average maximum, but model spread in the 48-hour window introduces uncertainty around exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing, keeping lower (≤30°C) and extreme (≥36°C) outcomes less favored yet plausible if steering patterns shift.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 21?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 21?
33°C 40%
32°C 22%
34°C 19%
31°C 16%
ใหม่
$15,664 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,664 ปริมาณ
Jun 21, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
16%
32°C
22%
33°C
40%
34°C
19%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 40%
32°C 22%
34°C 19%
31°C 16%
ใหม่
$15,664 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,664 ปริมาณ
Jun 21, 2026
26°C or below
$1,558 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$1,229 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$1,631 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$1,219 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$1,368 ปริมาณ
4%
31°C
$1,051 ปริมาณ
16%
32°C
$1,247 ปริมาณ
22%
33°C
$2,465 ปริมาณ
40%
34°C
$1,820 ปริมาณ
19%
35°C
$1,400 ปริมาณ
5%
36°C or higher
$698 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate typical June highs of 28–32°C under the southwest monsoon, with persistent humidity above 80% and scattered showers limiting solar heating. Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C because variable cloud cover and timing of precipitation can suppress peak temperatures by 1–3°C on any given day, while brief clear intervals or reduced rainfall allow brief spikes toward 34–35°C. Historical June climatology shows a 30–32°C average maximum, but model spread in the 48-hour window introduces uncertainty around exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing, keeping lower (≤30°C) and extreme (≥36°C) outcomes less favored yet plausible if steering patterns shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,664วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate typical June highs of 28–32°C under the southwest monsoon, with persistent humidity above 80% and scattered showers limiting solar heating. Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C because variable cloud cover and timing of precipitation can suppress peak temperatures by 1–3°C on any given day, while brief clear intervals or reduced rainfall allow brief spikes toward 34–35°C. Historical June climatology shows a 30–32°C average maximum, but model spread in the 48-hour window introduces uncertainty around exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing, keeping lower (≤30°C) and extreme (≥36°C) outcomes less favored yet plausible if steering patterns shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,664วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate typical June highs of 28–32°C under the southwest monsoon, with persistent humidity above 80% and scattered showers limiting solar heating. Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C because variable cloud cover and timing of precipitation can suppress peak temperatures by 1–3°C on any given day, while brief clear intervals or reduced rainfall allow brief spikes toward 34–35°C. Historical June climatology shows a 30–32°C average maximum, but model spread in the 48-hour window introduces uncertainty around exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing, keeping lower (≤30°C) and extreme (≥36°C) outcomes less favored yet plausible if steering patterns shift.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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