Short-term ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS are anchoring trader sentiment around 23–24°C for Shanghai’s official minimum on June 21, reflecting typical early-summer conditions during the East Asian monsoon transition. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nighttime radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects from the metropolitan area tend to hold minimums near or slightly above the long-term June climatology of 20–22°C. Light steering winds and any lingering moisture from plum-rain patterns further stabilize temperatures in this narrow band. With the leading outcomes tightly matched at 33–35% implied probability, the market highlights genuine forecast uncertainty that upcoming 48-hour model runs and official station observations will likely resolve.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 21?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 21?
24°C 36%
23°C 34%
22°C 16%
25°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 21, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
16%
23°C
34%
24°C
36%
25°C
13%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 36%
23°C 34%
22°C 16%
25°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 21, 2026
19°C or below
$67 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C
$41 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$56 ปริมาณ
3%
22°C
$20 ปริมาณ
16%
23°C
$140 ปริมาณ
34%
24°C
$198 ปริมาณ
36%
25°C
$40 ปริมาณ
13%
26°C
$26 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$41 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$41 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C or higher
$56 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS are anchoring trader sentiment around 23–24°C for Shanghai’s official minimum on June 21, reflecting typical early-summer conditions during the East Asian monsoon transition. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nighttime radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects from the metropolitan area tend to hold minimums near or slightly above the long-term June climatology of 20–22°C. Light steering winds and any lingering moisture from plum-rain patterns further stabilize temperatures in this narrow band. With the leading outcomes tightly matched at 33–35% implied probability, the market highlights genuine forecast uncertainty that upcoming 48-hour model runs and official station observations will likely resolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$725วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS are anchoring trader sentiment around 23–24°C for Shanghai’s official minimum on June 21, reflecting typical early-summer conditions during the East Asian monsoon transition. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nighttime radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects from the metropolitan area tend to hold minimums near or slightly above the long-term June climatology of 20–22°C. Light steering winds and any lingering moisture from plum-rain patterns further stabilize temperatures in this narrow band. With the leading outcomes tightly matched at 33–35% implied probability, the market highlights genuine forecast uncertainty that upcoming 48-hour model runs and official station observations will likely resolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$725วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS are anchoring trader sentiment around 23–24°C for Shanghai’s official minimum on June 21, reflecting typical early-summer conditions during the East Asian monsoon transition. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nighttime radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects from the metropolitan area tend to hold minimums near or slightly above the long-term June climatology of 20–22°C. Light steering winds and any lingering moisture from plum-rain patterns further stabilize temperatures in this narrow band. With the leading outcomes tightly matched at 33–35% implied probability, the market highlights genuine forecast uncertainty that upcoming 48-hour model runs and official station observations will likely resolve.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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