**Forecast models from major centers place Tel Aviv’s June 21 maximum in the 29–31 °C range under a strengthening subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow moderated by Mediterranean sea breezes.** Coastal location and diurnal timing of peak heating create narrow margins between these thresholds, with ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs showing sensitivity to small shifts in wind direction or urban heat-island effects at the official station. June climatology supports highs near 29–30 °C on average, so the tightly bunched market probabilities around 29–31 °C reflect genuine uncertainty in whether conditions push the daily maximum across the next integer threshold. Updated model runs and Israel Meteorological Service guidance ahead of the weekend will provide the clearest near-term signals for traders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 21?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 21?
29°C 37%
30°C 37%
31°C 15%
28°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 21, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
37%
30°C
37%
31°C
15%
32°C
5%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 37%
30°C 37%
31°C 15%
28°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 21, 2026
26°C or below
$287 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$261 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$700 ปริมาณ
6%
29°C
$276 ปริมาณ
37%
30°C
$1,763 ปริมาณ
37%
31°C
$68 ปริมาณ
15%
32°C
$317 ปริมาณ
5%
33°C
$103 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C
$146 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C
$275 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C or higher
$231 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from major centers place Tel Aviv’s June 21 maximum in the 29–31 °C range under a strengthening subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow moderated by Mediterranean sea breezes.** Coastal location and diurnal timing of peak heating create narrow margins between these thresholds, with ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs showing sensitivity to small shifts in wind direction or urban heat-island effects at the official station. June climatology supports highs near 29–30 °C on average, so the tightly bunched market probabilities around 29–31 °C reflect genuine uncertainty in whether conditions push the daily maximum across the next integer threshold. Updated model runs and Israel Meteorological Service guidance ahead of the weekend will provide the clearest near-term signals for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,427วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from major centers place Tel Aviv’s June 21 maximum in the 29–31 °C range under a strengthening subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow moderated by Mediterranean sea breezes.** Coastal location and diurnal timing of peak heating create narrow margins between these thresholds, with ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs showing sensitivity to small shifts in wind direction or urban heat-island effects at the official station. June climatology supports highs near 29–30 °C on average, so the tightly bunched market probabilities around 29–31 °C reflect genuine uncertainty in whether conditions push the daily maximum across the next integer threshold. Updated model runs and Israel Meteorological Service guidance ahead of the weekend will provide the clearest near-term signals for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,427วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from major centers place Tel Aviv’s June 21 maximum in the 29–31 °C range under a strengthening subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow moderated by Mediterranean sea breezes.** Coastal location and diurnal timing of peak heating create narrow margins between these thresholds, with ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs showing sensitivity to small shifts in wind direction or urban heat-island effects at the official station. June climatology supports highs near 29–30 °C on average, so the tightly bunched market probabilities around 29–31 °C reflect genuine uncertainty in whether conditions push the daily maximum across the next integer threshold. Updated model runs and Israel Meteorological Service guidance ahead of the weekend will provide the clearest near-term signals for traders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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