Forecast models for June 22 indicate highest temperatures in Chengdu clustered around 27–32°C, reflecting typical late-June monsoon conditions in the Sichuan basin where high humidity and frequent cloud cover limit daytime heating. Recent patterns show variable insolation and scattered showers moderating peaks below historical extremes, with consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional climatology placing the mean near 29–30°C. Key differentiators among closely matched outcomes include model spread on cloud thickness, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or allow brief spikes above 31°C. Traders weigh these uncertainties against climatological baselines of 28–30°C highs, anticipating potential revisions from updated runs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 22?
29°C 23%
27°C or below 17%
30°C 17%
31°C 14%
27°C or below
17%
28°C
13%
29°C
23%
30°C
17%
31°C
14%
32°C
6%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
29°C 23%
27°C or below 17%
30°C 17%
31°C 14%
27°C or below
17%
28°C
13%
29°C
23%
30°C
17%
31°C
14%
32°C
6%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models for June 22 indicate highest temperatures in Chengdu clustered around 27–32°C, reflecting typical late-June monsoon conditions in the Sichuan basin where high humidity and frequent cloud cover limit daytime heating. Recent patterns show variable insolation and scattered showers moderating peaks below historical extremes, with consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional climatology placing the mean near 29–30°C. Key differentiators among closely matched outcomes include model spread on cloud thickness, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or allow brief spikes above 31°C. Traders weigh these uncertainties against climatological baselines of 28–30°C highs, anticipating potential revisions from updated runs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions