**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a maximum temperature of 23°C or below (52% implied probability) for Chongqing on June 18, reflecting model consensus for widespread cloud cover and precipitation that will limit daytime heating.** Typical early-summer conditions feature highs near 29–32°C under strong insolation, but current forecasts highlight a moist monsoon flow and possible frontal passage or thundershowers that increase albedo, enhance evaporative cooling, and reduce the diurnal temperature range. Recent numerical weather prediction runs show elevated rainfall probabilities and lower 850-hPa temperatures, shifting the distribution toward the cooler bins while leaving modest probability for 24–25°C if convection remains isolated. Historical analogs confirm that rainy June days in the Sichuan Basin often see maxima 4–7°C below clear-sky values, supporting the current market-implied odds ahead of updated guidance expected overnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chongqing on June 18?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on June 18?
23°C or below 52%
24°C 27%
25°C 17%
26°C 5.8%
NEU
$35,438 Vol.
NEU
$35,438 Vol.
18. Juni 2026
23°C or below
52%
24°C
27%
25°C
17%
26°C
6%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
23°C or below 52%
24°C 27%
25°C 17%
26°C 5.8%
NEU
$35,438 Vol.
NEU
$35,438 Vol.
18. Juni 2026
23°C or below
$6,489 Vol.
52%
24°C
$1,665 Vol.
27%
25°C
$1,303 Vol.
17%
26°C
$3,223 Vol.
6%
27°C
$4,348 Vol.
3%
28°C
$2,371 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,490 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,593 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$8,567 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,392 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$997 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a maximum temperature of 23°C or below (52% implied probability) for Chongqing on June 18, reflecting model consensus for widespread cloud cover and precipitation that will limit daytime heating.**
Typical early-summer conditions feature highs near 29–32°C under strong insolation, but current forecasts highlight a moist monsoon flow and possible frontal passage or thundershowers that increase albedo, enhance evaporative cooling, and reduce the diurnal temperature range. Recent numerical weather prediction runs show elevated rainfall probabilities and lower 850-hPa temperatures, shifting the distribution toward the cooler bins while leaving modest probability for 24–25°C if convection remains isolated. Historical analogs confirm that rainy June days in the Sichuan Basin often see maxima 4–7°C below clear-sky values, supporting the current market-implied odds ahead of updated guidance expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$35,438Enddatum
18. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a maximum temperature of 23°C or below (52% implied probability) for Chongqing on June 18, reflecting model consensus for widespread cloud cover and precipitation that will limit daytime heating.**
Typical early-summer conditions feature highs near 29–32°C under strong insolation, but current forecasts highlight a moist monsoon flow and possible frontal passage or thundershowers that increase albedo, enhance evaporative cooling, and reduce the diurnal temperature range. Recent numerical weather prediction runs show elevated rainfall probabilities and lower 850-hPa temperatures, shifting the distribution toward the cooler bins while leaving modest probability for 24–25°C if convection remains isolated. Historical analogs confirm that rainy June days in the Sichuan Basin often see maxima 4–7°C below clear-sky values, supporting the current market-implied odds ahead of updated guidance expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$35,438Enddatum
18. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a maximum temperature of 23°C or below (52% implied probability) for Chongqing on June 18, reflecting model consensus for widespread cloud cover and precipitation that will limit daytime heating.** Typical early-summer conditions feature highs near 29–32°C under strong insolation, but current forecasts highlight a moist monsoon flow and possible frontal passage or thundershowers that increase albedo, enhance evaporative cooling, and reduce the diurnal temperature range. Recent numerical weather prediction runs show elevated rainfall probabilities and lower 850-hPa temperatures, shifting the distribution toward the cooler bins while leaving modest probability for 24–25°C if convection remains isolated. Historical analogs confirm that rainy June days in the Sichuan Basin often see maxima 4–7°C below clear-sky values, supporting the current market-implied odds ahead of updated guidance expected overnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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