Trader consensus strongly favors more than nine magnitude 5.5 or greater earthquakes worldwide during June 8-14, consistent with long-term global seismicity patterns documented by the U.S. Geological Survey. Annual counts of M5–5.9 events average roughly 1,500, translating to roughly 15–30 such quakes per week depending on exact magnitude distribution, with major fault systems in the Pacific Ring of Fire and elsewhere driving steady background rates. A significantly lower total would require an atypical lull in tectonic release rarely observed in the instrumental record. Continuous USGS monitoring through the period will capture any deviations from these norms.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQuantos sismos de 5,5 ou mais de 8 de junho a 14 de junho?
>9 95%
8 3.2%
9 1.7%
7 <1%
$26,288 Vol.
$26,288 Vol.
≤3
<1%
4
<1%
5
<1%
6
1%
7
1%
8
3%
9
2%
>9
95%
>9 95%
8 3.2%
9 1.7%
7 <1%
$26,288 Vol.
$26,288 Vol.
≤3
<1%
4
<1%
5
<1%
6
1%
7
1%
8
3%
9
2%
>9
95%
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 5, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors more than nine magnitude 5.5 or greater earthquakes worldwide during June 8-14, consistent with long-term global seismicity patterns documented by the U.S. Geological Survey. Annual counts of M5–5.9 events average roughly 1,500, translating to roughly 15–30 such quakes per week depending on exact magnitude distribution, with major fault systems in the Pacific Ring of Fire and elsewhere driving steady background rates. A significantly lower total would require an atypical lull in tectonic release rarely observed in the instrumental record. Continuous USGS monitoring through the period will capture any deviations from these norms.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions