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World·South Korea

Incheon Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Incheon Mayoral Election Winner
World·South Korea

Incheon Mayoral Election Winner

Park Chan-dae 96.2%

Yoo Jeong-bok 3.1%

Yoo Dong-soo <1%

Bae June-young <1%

Polymarket

$2,539,691 Vol.

Park Chan-dae 96.2%

Yoo Jeong-bok 3.1%

Yoo Dong-soo <1%

Bae June-young <1%

Polymarket

$2,539,691 Vol.

icon for Park Chan-dae

Park Chan-dae

$140,928 Vol.

96%

icon for Yoo Jeong-bok

Yoo Jeong-bok

$1,932,953 Vol.

3%

icon for Yoo Dong-soo

Yoo Dong-soo

$104,194 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bae June-young

Bae June-young

$33,115 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yoon Sang-hyun

Yoon Sang-hyun

$138,234 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chung Il-young

Chung Il-young

$39,704 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kim Kyo-heung

Kim Kyo-heung

$58,570 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lee Hak-jae

Lee Hak-jae

$38,319 Vol.

<1%

icon for Park Nam-choon

Park Nam-choon

$53,674 Vol.

<1%

The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).Park Chan-dae's 96% implied probability in the Incheon mayoral race stems from dominant polling leads over incumbent Yoo Jeong-bok of the People Power Party, with recent surveys showing 25+ point margins in multi-candidate matchups as of early May, including 54.9% to Yoo's support in a key poll and over 50% in districts like Seo-gu and Yeonsu-gu. As the Democratic Party's single-nominated candidate and President Lee Jae-myung ally, Park leverages ruling party momentum ahead of the June 3 local elections, bolstered by pledges for a 240 billion won extra budget and creative development like the Daejang-dong model highlighted this week. Yoo touts administrative experience and low-cost policies, but Park's regional strength prevails. Late scandals, voter turnout surges favoring the opposition, or registration-week disruptions could narrow the gap, though structural advantages make upsets unlikely.

The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Volume
$2,539,691
End Date
Jun 3, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 17, 2025, 6:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).Park Chan-dae's 96% implied probability in the Incheon mayoral race stems from dominant polling leads over incumbent Yoo Jeong-bok of the People Power Party, with recent surveys showing 25+ point margins in multi-candidate matchups as of early May, including 54.9% to Yoo's support in a key poll and over 50% in districts like Seo-gu and Yeonsu-gu. As the Democratic Party's single-nominated candidate and President Lee Jae-myung ally, Park leverages ruling party momentum ahead of the June 3 local elections, bolstered by pledges for a 240 billion won extra budget and creative development like the Daejang-dong model highlighted this week. Yoo touts administrative experience and low-cost policies, but Park's regional strength prevails. Late scandals, voter turnout surges favoring the opposition, or registration-week disruptions could narrow the gap, though structural advantages make upsets unlikely.

The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Volume
$2,539,691
End Date
Jun 3, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 17, 2025, 6:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Incheon Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Park Chan-dae" at 96%, followed by "Yoo Jeong-bok" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Incheon Mayoral Election Winner" has generated $2.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 17, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Incheon Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Incheon Mayoral Election Winner" is "Park Chan-dae" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Yoo Jeong-bok" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Incheon Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.