Israel’s Central Elections Committee voted in late September 2026 to disqualify the Joint List—an alliance of Hadash, Ta’al, and Balad—from the October 27 Knesset election, citing alleged support for armed struggle and rejection of Israel as a Jewish and democratic state under Basic Law provisions. The same panel also barred Ra’am and two individual candidates. These rulings followed petitions from Likud and other parties but were issued against the Attorney General’s assessment that evidence fell short of the legal threshold. Appeals are scheduled before the Supreme Court, which has historically applied a high bar and overturned most prior disqualification attempts. Traders therefore assign a 95% probability that the Joint List will remain on the ballot, reflecting the anticipated judicial reversal and the limited finality of the committee’s decision.