Recent polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election show the re-formed Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) projected between roughly 6 and 9 seats, with results fluctuating across surveys due to Arab voter turnout, the impact of unification after prior splits, and competition from Ra'am. Both major blocs remain near 53 seats each in late polling, leaving Arab parties—including the Joint List—with the balance of power, yet neither side has signaled willingness to rely on them for a majority. This volatility, combined with new right-wing entrants and shifting alliances, keeps outcomes clustered across seat ranges and sustains close market probabilities. Party list submissions due in early September and final campaign dynamics could still alter Arab bloc performance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated10-11 25%
12+ 25%
6-7 24%
<6 22%
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NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<6
22%
6-7
24%
8-9
21%
10-11
25%
12+
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10-11 25%
12+ 25%
6-7 24%
<6 22%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<6
$0 Vol.
22%
6-7
$0 Vol.
24%
8-9
$0 Vol.
21%
10-11
$0 Vol.
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12+
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25%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election show the re-formed Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) projected between roughly 6 and 9 seats, with results fluctuating across surveys due to Arab voter turnout, the impact of unification after prior splits, and competition from Ra'am. Both major blocs remain near 53 seats each in late polling, leaving Arab parties—including the Joint List—with the balance of power, yet neither side has signaled willingness to rely on them for a majority. This volatility, combined with new right-wing entrants and shifting alliances, keeps outcomes clustered across seat ranges and sustains close market probabilities. Party list submissions due in early September and final campaign dynamics could still alter Arab bloc performance.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election show the re-formed Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) projected between roughly 6 and 9 seats, with results fluctuating across surveys due to Arab voter turnout, the impact of unification after prior splits, and competition from Ra'am. Both major blocs remain near 53 seats each in late polling, leaving Arab parties—including the Joint List—with the balance of power, yet neither side has signaled willingness to rely on them for a majority. This volatility, combined with new right-wing entrants and shifting alliances, keeps outcomes clustered across seat ranges and sustains close market probabilities. Party list submissions due in early September and final campaign dynamics could still alter Arab bloc performance.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election show the re-formed Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) projected between roughly 6 and 9 seats, with results fluctuating across surveys due to Arab voter turnout, the impact of unification after prior splits, and competition from Ra'am. Both major blocs remain near 53 seats each in late polling, leaving Arab parties—including the Joint List—with the balance of power, yet neither side has signaled willingness to rely on them for a majority. This volatility, combined with new right-wing entrants and shifting alliances, keeps outcomes clustered across seat ranges and sustains close market probabilities. Party list submissions due in early September and final campaign dynamics could still alter Arab bloc performance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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