Recent polls for Israel's October 27 Knesset election project Otzma Yehudit at 6–9 seats, reflecting a narrow band amid stable but competitive right-wing support. The party has expanded its slate with its first Haredi candidate and adjusted positions for sitting MKs ahead of final list submissions, aiming to draw voters from Likud and Shas. A September 15 petition by the Democrats party seeks disqualification over alleged incitement and democratic concerns, adding procedural uncertainty that traders are weighing against historical precedent for such challenges. Fragmentation within the broader nationalist bloc, including competition from Religious Zionism and new entrants like Amcha Yisrael, plus bloc-level deadlock preventing clear majorities, sustains the tight distribution across 6–9 seat outcomes in current trader pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated6-7 35%
8-9 26%
4-5 16%
10+ 14%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<4
2%
4-5
16%
6-7
35%
8-9
26%
10+
17%
6-7 35%
8-9 26%
4-5 16%
10+ 14%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<4
$634 Vol.
2%
4-5
$1,192 Vol.
16%
6-7
$914 Vol.
35%
8-9
$1,528 Vol.
26%
10+
$242 Vol.
17%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls for Israel's October 27 Knesset election project Otzma Yehudit at 6–9 seats, reflecting a narrow band amid stable but competitive right-wing support. The party has expanded its slate with its first Haredi candidate and adjusted positions for sitting MKs ahead of final list submissions, aiming to draw voters from Likud and Shas. A September 15 petition by the Democrats party seeks disqualification over alleged incitement and democratic concerns, adding procedural uncertainty that traders are weighing against historical precedent for such challenges. Fragmentation within the broader nationalist bloc, including competition from Religious Zionism and new entrants like Amcha Yisrael, plus bloc-level deadlock preventing clear majorities, sustains the tight distribution across 6–9 seat outcomes in current trader pricing.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$4,510End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls for Israel's October 27 Knesset election project Otzma Yehudit at 6–9 seats, reflecting a narrow band amid stable but competitive right-wing support. The party has expanded its slate with its first Haredi candidate and adjusted positions for sitting MKs ahead of final list submissions, aiming to draw voters from Likud and Shas. A September 15 petition by the Democrats party seeks disqualification over alleged incitement and democratic concerns, adding procedural uncertainty that traders are weighing against historical precedent for such challenges. Fragmentation within the broader nationalist bloc, including competition from Religious Zionism and new entrants like Amcha Yisrael, plus bloc-level deadlock preventing clear majorities, sustains the tight distribution across 6–9 seat outcomes in current trader pricing.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$4,510End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Israel's October 27 Knesset election project Otzma Yehudit at 6–9 seats, reflecting a narrow band amid stable but competitive right-wing support. The party has expanded its slate with its first Haredi candidate and adjusted positions for sitting MKs ahead of final list submissions, aiming to draw voters from Likud and Shas. A September 15 petition by the Democrats party seeks disqualification over alleged incitement and democratic concerns, adding procedural uncertainty that traders are weighing against historical precedent for such challenges. Fragmentation within the broader nationalist bloc, including competition from Religious Zionism and new entrants like Amcha Yisrael, plus bloc-level deadlock preventing clear majorities, sustains the tight distribution across 6–9 seat outcomes in current trader pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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