**Otzma Yehudit secured seven seats in Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election, placing it firmly in the 6-7 range that commands overwhelming trader consensus.** Pre-election polling averages had consistently projected the far-right party, led by Itamar Ben-Gvir, at 7-8 seats within Netanyahu’s bloc, reflecting stable voter support among hardline nationalist and religious constituencies despite the broader right-wing bloc falling short of a 61-seat majority. Final vote counts and seat projections aligned closely with those surveys, with turnout near 78 percent and no major late shifts reported for the party. The market’s near-certainty around 6-7 seats incorporates the confirmed tally, while the slim probability of 8-9 seats accounts for any remaining double-envelope adjustments or certification delays ahead of the official November 4 results.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1H6H1D7D30DALL
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