Israel’s Central Elections Committee rejected petitions to disqualify Otzma Yehudit from the October 27 Knesset vote by a 19-10 margin on September 24, citing insufficient grounds under Basic Law provisions on incitement or rejection of Israel’s character as a Jewish and democratic state. The decision followed similar hearings that barred certain Arab slates and aligns with the committee’s coalition majority. Historical Supreme Court precedent shows most such disqualifications are overturned on appeal, leaving the party’s participation intact absent a rare reversal. Traders assign 97 percent probability to no effective ban because the timeline leaves limited room for procedural shifts before ballots close, though a late High Court intervention or unforeseen coalition realignment could still alter eligibility.