Recent polling averages place the Religious Zionism Party–Zehut technical bloc at roughly 5–6 seats for the October 27 Knesset election, with most surveys showing results between 4 and 8. The combined list hovers near the 3.25 percent threshold, creating volatility that explains the market’s emphasis on the 4–7 seat range. Formalization of the Smotrich–Feiglin alliance in early September and submission of the joint slate stabilized the ticket after earlier fragmentation risks, while broader right-wing bloc weakness and competition from Otzma Yehudit and smaller lists have capped upside. No major late shifts have emerged in the final month of campaigning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated6-7 49%
4-5 26%
<4 13%
8-9 9%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<4
13%
4-5
26%
6-7
53%
8-9
9%
10+
2%
6-7 49%
4-5 26%
<4 13%
8-9 9%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<4
$1,406 Vol.
13%
4-5
$1,469 Vol.
26%
6-7
$590 Vol.
53%
8-9
$906 Vol.
9%
10+
$3,113 Vol.
2%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place the Religious Zionism Party–Zehut technical bloc at roughly 5–6 seats for the October 27 Knesset election, with most surveys showing results between 4 and 8. The combined list hovers near the 3.25 percent threshold, creating volatility that explains the market’s emphasis on the 4–7 seat range. Formalization of the Smotrich–Feiglin alliance in early September and submission of the joint slate stabilized the ticket after earlier fragmentation risks, while broader right-wing bloc weakness and competition from Otzma Yehudit and smaller lists have capped upside. No major late shifts have emerged in the final month of campaigning.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$7,485End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place the Religious Zionism Party–Zehut technical bloc at roughly 5–6 seats for the October 27 Knesset election, with most surveys showing results between 4 and 8. The combined list hovers near the 3.25 percent threshold, creating volatility that explains the market’s emphasis on the 4–7 seat range. Formalization of the Smotrich–Feiglin alliance in early September and submission of the joint slate stabilized the ticket after earlier fragmentation risks, while broader right-wing bloc weakness and competition from Otzma Yehudit and smaller lists have capped upside. No major late shifts have emerged in the final month of campaigning.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$7,485End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place the Religious Zionism Party–Zehut technical bloc at roughly 5–6 seats for the October 27 Knesset election, with most surveys showing results between 4 and 8. The combined list hovers near the 3.25 percent threshold, creating volatility that explains the market’s emphasis on the 4–7 seat range. Formalization of the Smotrich–Feiglin alliance in early September and submission of the joint slate stabilized the ticket after earlier fragmentation risks, while broader right-wing bloc weakness and competition from Otzma Yehudit and smaller lists have capped upside. No major late shifts have emerged in the final month of campaigning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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