Netanyahu’s right-wing bloc secured a clear lead in Knesset seats following the October 27, 2026, election, with final tallies showing his Likud-led alliance at 53 seats against the main opposition grouping at 48. This outcome, driven by stronger-than-expected support among Jewish voters and record turnout, aligned closely with updated vote counts that surpassed initial exit polls. Arab-led lists captured the balance with 19 seats but remain outside the primary bloc comparison. Traders assign near-certain probability to the Bibi bloc because the certified results leave little room for reversal, though minor adjustments from remaining double-envelope ballots or official verification by November 4 could theoretically shift margins by a seat or two without altering the overall ranking. Coalition formation talks remain separate from seat totals.