Yashar, the centrist party founded by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot in 2025, has risen steadily in Israeli polls as a leading challenger to Prime Minister Netanyahu’s Likud ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Recent surveys place the two parties in a tight contest for the largest faction, with Yashar often polling at 22–24 seats and Likud nearby, reflecting voter focus on security, an inquiry into the October 7 attacks, and government reform. The race stays narrow due to fragmented opposition blocs, shifting alliances such as Bennett-Lapid’s Together party, and uncertainty over smaller lists clearing the electoral threshold. Late-campaign events—including final candidate list submissions by September 9, security developments, or coalition negotiations—could widen or narrow Yashar’s projected seat range in the coming weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIsrael Election: Yashar # of seats?
Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?
20-21 41%
22-23 40%
<20 38%
30+ 35%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<20
38%
20-21
41%
22-23
40%
24-25
25%
26-27
24%
28-29
24%
30+
35%
20-21 41%
22-23 40%
<20 38%
30+ 35%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<20
$0 Vol.
38%
20-21
$0 Vol.
41%
22-23
$0 Vol.
40%
24-25
$0 Vol.
25%
26-27
$0 Vol.
24%
28-29
$0 Vol.
24%
30+
$0 Vol.
35%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Yashar, the centrist party founded by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot in 2025, has risen steadily in Israeli polls as a leading challenger to Prime Minister Netanyahu’s Likud ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Recent surveys place the two parties in a tight contest for the largest faction, with Yashar often polling at 22–24 seats and Likud nearby, reflecting voter focus on security, an inquiry into the October 7 attacks, and government reform. The race stays narrow due to fragmented opposition blocs, shifting alliances such as Bennett-Lapid’s Together party, and uncertainty over smaller lists clearing the electoral threshold. Late-campaign events—including final candidate list submissions by September 9, security developments, or coalition negotiations—could widen or narrow Yashar’s projected seat range in the coming weeks.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Yashar, the centrist party founded by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot in 2025, has risen steadily in Israeli polls as a leading challenger to Prime Minister Netanyahu’s Likud ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Recent surveys place the two parties in a tight contest for the largest faction, with Yashar often polling at 22–24 seats and Likud nearby, reflecting voter focus on security, an inquiry into the October 7 attacks, and government reform. The race stays narrow due to fragmented opposition blocs, shifting alliances such as Bennett-Lapid’s Together party, and uncertainty over smaller lists clearing the electoral threshold. Late-campaign events—including final candidate list submissions by September 9, security developments, or coalition negotiations—could widen or narrow Yashar’s projected seat range in the coming weeks.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Yashar, the centrist party founded by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot in 2025, has risen steadily in Israeli polls as a leading challenger to Prime Minister Netanyahu’s Likud ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Recent surveys place the two parties in a tight contest for the largest faction, with Yashar often polling at 22–24 seats and Likud nearby, reflecting voter focus on security, an inquiry into the October 7 attacks, and government reform. The race stays narrow due to fragmented opposition blocs, shifting alliances such as Bennett-Lapid’s Together party, and uncertainty over smaller lists clearing the electoral threshold. Late-campaign events—including final candidate list submissions by September 9, security developments, or coalition negotiations—could widen or narrow Yashar’s projected seat range in the coming weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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