**Current polling averages place Yisrael Beiteinu at roughly eight Knesset seats ahead of the October 27, 2026 election, consistent with the market’s leading 8-9 outcome.** Recent surveys from mid-September show the party holding steady in the 7–9 seat range across most pollsters, supported by its secular-right base, Russian-speaking voters, and emphasis on universal military conscription without Haredi exemptions. The party’s early-September slate announcement, featuring high-profile candidates including bereaved families and ex-Likud figures, has maintained visibility without shifting the numbers. A surplus-vote agreement with the Together party further anchors its position within the broader anti-Netanyahu bloc. Traders appear to view the 8–9 seat band as the most probable result given this stability, while lower or higher outcomes remain possible if turnout or late security developments alter the fragmented political map.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated8-9 60%
<6 16%
10-11 16%
6-7 13%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<6
16%
6-7
13%
8-9
45%
10-11
16%
12+
10%
8-9 60%
<6 16%
10-11 16%
6-7 13%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<6
$1,621 Vol.
16%
6-7
$79 Vol.
13%
8-9
$331 Vol.
45%
10-11
$201 Vol.
16%
12+
$258 Vol.
10%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).**Current polling averages place Yisrael Beiteinu at roughly eight Knesset seats ahead of the October 27, 2026 election, consistent with the market’s leading 8-9 outcome.** Recent surveys from mid-September show the party holding steady in the 7–9 seat range across most pollsters, supported by its secular-right base, Russian-speaking voters, and emphasis on universal military conscription without Haredi exemptions. The party’s early-September slate announcement, featuring high-profile candidates including bereaved families and ex-Likud figures, has maintained visibility without shifting the numbers. A surplus-vote agreement with the Together party further anchors its position within the broader anti-Netanyahu bloc. Traders appear to view the 8–9 seat band as the most probable result given this stability, while lower or higher outcomes remain possible if turnout or late security developments alter the fragmented political map.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$2,491End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).**Current polling averages place Yisrael Beiteinu at roughly eight Knesset seats ahead of the October 27, 2026 election, consistent with the market’s leading 8-9 outcome.** Recent surveys from mid-September show the party holding steady in the 7–9 seat range across most pollsters, supported by its secular-right base, Russian-speaking voters, and emphasis on universal military conscription without Haredi exemptions. The party’s early-September slate announcement, featuring high-profile candidates including bereaved families and ex-Likud figures, has maintained visibility without shifting the numbers. A surplus-vote agreement with the Together party further anchors its position within the broader anti-Netanyahu bloc. Traders appear to view the 8–9 seat band as the most probable result given this stability, while lower or higher outcomes remain possible if turnout or late security developments alter the fragmented political map.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$2,491End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current polling averages place Yisrael Beiteinu at roughly eight Knesset seats ahead of the October 27, 2026 election, consistent with the market’s leading 8-9 outcome.** Recent surveys from mid-September show the party holding steady in the 7–9 seat range across most pollsters, supported by its secular-right base, Russian-speaking voters, and emphasis on universal military conscription without Haredi exemptions. The party’s early-September slate announcement, featuring high-profile candidates including bereaved families and ex-Likud figures, has maintained visibility without shifting the numbers. A surplus-vote agreement with the Together party further anchors its position within the broader anti-Netanyahu bloc. Traders appear to view the 8–9 seat band as the most probable result given this stability, while lower or higher outcomes remain possible if turnout or late security developments alter the fragmented political map.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions