The misdemeanor domestic battery charge against streamer Jack Doherty, stemming from a September 2026 Fort Lauderdale incident with no reported injuries, anchors the strong market consensus for no prison time. Florida law classifies this as a first-degree misdemeanor with a maximum one-year county jail term, far below state prison thresholds, and such cases frequently resolve via plea deals, probation, or diversion rather than incarceration. His prior 2025 drug-related arrest ended without conviction through a pre-trial program, reinforcing trader expectations of a similar low-impact outcome. An upset would require charge escalation, an unexpected guilty verdict at trial, or judicial imposition of actual jail time despite the minor classification and lack of aggravating factors.