Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for JPMorgan (JPM) closes at $1T+ market cap by…?

JPMorgan (JPM) closes at $1T+ market cap by…?

icon for JPMorgan (JPM) closes at $1T+ market cap by…?

JPMorgan (JPM) closes at $1T+ market cap by…?

$14,970 Vol.

Oct 31, 2026
Polymarket

$14,970 Vol.

Polymarket

October 31

$3,158 Vol.

22%

December 31

$5,812 Vol.

24%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the closing market capitalization of JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) is equal to or greater than USD 1 trillion for any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on any day within the specified timeframe. This market may remain open for three days after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, to confirm the closing share price of a date within the specified timeframe. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.JPMorgan Chase shares trade near $349, placing market capitalization in the $930–960 billion range as of mid-September 2026, supported by record Q2 net income of $21.2 billion and revenue of $57.3 billion that exceeded consensus. Management’s mid-to-high teens growth outlook for third-quarter investment banking fees and markets revenue, combined with a new $50 billion repurchase authorization and a 10% dividend increase, has reinforced trader expectations for continued earnings expansion and capital returns. Net interest income guidance near $96.5 billion excluding Markets and double-digit loan and deposit growth provide additional tailwinds, though recent monthly price softness and proximity to the $1 trillion threshold make near-term resolution sensitive to the October 13 earnings release and broader interest-rate and equity-market conditions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the closing market capitalization of JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) is equal to or greater than USD 1 trillion for any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on any day within the specified timeframe.

This market may remain open for three days after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, to confirm the closing share price of a date within the specified timeframe.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the closing market capitalization of JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) is equal to or greater than USD 1 trillion for any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on any day within the specified timeframe. This market may remain open for three days after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, to confirm the closing share price of a date within the specified timeframe. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Volume
$14,970
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the closing market capitalization of JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) is equal to or greater than USD 1 trillion for any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on any day within the specified timeframe. This market may remain open for three days after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, to confirm the closing share price of a date within the specified timeframe. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.JPMorgan Chase shares trade near $349, placing market capitalization in the $930–960 billion range as of mid-September 2026, supported by record Q2 net income of $21.2 billion and revenue of $57.3 billion that exceeded consensus. Management’s mid-to-high teens growth outlook for third-quarter investment banking fees and markets revenue, combined with a new $50 billion repurchase authorization and a 10% dividend increase, has reinforced trader expectations for continued earnings expansion and capital returns. Net interest income guidance near $96.5 billion excluding Markets and double-digit loan and deposit growth provide additional tailwinds, though recent monthly price softness and proximity to the $1 trillion threshold make near-term resolution sensitive to the October 13 earnings release and broader interest-rate and equity-market conditions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the closing market capitalization of JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) is equal to or greater than USD 1 trillion for any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on any day within the specified timeframe.

This market may remain open for three days after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, to confirm the closing share price of a date within the specified timeframe.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the closing market capitalization of JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) is equal to or greater than USD 1 trillion for any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on any day within the specified timeframe. This market may remain open for three days after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, to confirm the closing share price of a date within the specified timeframe. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Volume
$14,970
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 8:01 PM ET

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"JPMorgan (JPM) closes at $1T+ market cap by…?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 24%, followed by "October 31" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "JPMorgan (JPM) closes at $1T+ market cap by…?" has generated $15K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "JPMorgan (JPM) closes at $1T+ market cap by…?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "JPMorgan (JPM) closes at $1T+ market cap by…?" is "December 31" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "October 31" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "JPMorgan (JPM) closes at $1T+ market cap by…?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.