Justin Jefferson enters the 2026 regular season with elevated expectations for receiving touchdowns after posting just two in 17 games during 2025 amid inconsistent quarterback play. Through the first two weeks, the Vikings wideout has already matched that total on 11 receptions for 147 yards, capitalizing on high target volume and red-zone opportunities in Kevin O'Connell's scheme. Kyler Murray's return as the primary quarterback following a Week 1 concussion is the central variable, as his arm strength and mobility are projected to improve deep-ball accuracy and overall offensive efficiency compared to last year's results. Jefferson's career track record includes multiple double-digit touchdown seasons when paired with capable passers, though sustained health, defensive attention, and the Vikings' run-heavy tendencies will shape his full-season output.