Mike O'Reilly leads the Kamloops mayoral market at 64.5% implied probability as the two-term councillor with recent council experience and a detailed platform emphasizing a new “campus of care” shelter model on city-owned land, police and community service officer expansions, and infrastructure priorities ahead of the October 17 vote. The incumbent Reid Hamer-Jackson sits at 27.5% amid ongoing council controversies, property tax and business challenges, and voter concerns over street disorder during his term. Nelly Dever, aligned with the Pivot Kamloops slate focused on fiscal discipline and restoring decorum, trades at 7.5% alongside several other declared candidates including former councillors Ray Dhaliwal and newcomers Kris Lloyd-Middleton and Ivory Winston. Recent September candidate forums have highlighted divides on arts funding, public safety metrics, and housing placements, with no public polling available to date and the official ballot finalized after the September 18 withdrawal deadline.