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icon for Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner

icon for Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner

Lai Jui-lung 68%

Ko Chih-en 35.6%

Hsu Chih-chieh <1%

Chang Ching <1%

Polymarket

$16,489 Vol.

Lai Jui-lung 68%

Ko Chih-en 35.6%

Hsu Chih-chieh <1%

Chang Ching <1%

Polymarket

$16,489 Vol.

icon for Lai Jui-lung

Lai Jui-lung

$7,298 Vol.

68%

icon for Ko Chih-en

Ko Chih-en

$5,958 Vol.

36%

icon for Hsu Chih-chieh

Hsu Chih-chieh

$751 Vol.

1%

icon for Chang Ching

Chang Ching

$1,181 Vol.

1%

icon for Chiu Yi-ying

Chiu Yi-ying

$640 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lin Tai-hua

Lin Tai-hua

$661 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lai Jui-lung holds the leading position in the Kaohsiung mayoral race at 68% implied probability, ahead of Ko Chih-en at 34%, with all other registered candidates at negligible levels. DPP nominee Lai consolidated party support after winning a competitive January 2026 primary against legislators including Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua, building on his legislative record and prior municipal roles under former mayor Chen Chu. KMT nominee Ko, seeking a rematch after her 2022 defeat, has focused recent efforts on Hakka voter outreach, tourism initiatives, and policy proposals such as cultural expos and language programs. Kaohsiung remains a DPP-leaning city with strong local organization advantages for the incumbent party, though polls show varying margins and the November 28 vote is still weeks away. Trader consensus reflects these structural and organizational factors over the closing campaign period.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$16,489
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lai Jui-lung holds the leading position in the Kaohsiung mayoral race at 68% implied probability, ahead of Ko Chih-en at 34%, with all other registered candidates at negligible levels. DPP nominee Lai consolidated party support after winning a competitive January 2026 primary against legislators including Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua, building on his legislative record and prior municipal roles under former mayor Chen Chu. KMT nominee Ko, seeking a rematch after her 2022 defeat, has focused recent efforts on Hakka voter outreach, tourism initiatives, and policy proposals such as cultural expos and language programs. Kaohsiung remains a DPP-leaning city with strong local organization advantages for the incumbent party, though polls show varying margins and the November 28 vote is still weeks away. Trader consensus reflects these structural and organizational factors over the closing campaign period.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$16,489
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lai Jui-lung" at 68%, followed by "Ko Chih-en" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 68¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner" has generated $16.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner" is "Lai Jui-lung" at 68%, meaning the market assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ko Chih-en" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.