Chen Yu-jen, the Kuomintang nominee and sitting legislator, holds a commanding lead in the November 28, 2026, Kinmen County magistrate race, reflected in trader consensus above 90 percent. A September KMT-commissioned poll showed her at 45.4 percent support against six independents, outpacing runner-up Li Wen-liang by 34.7 points while the remaining candidates combined for under 17 percent. Party unification after former magistrate Yang Cheng-wu withdrew in early September consolidated KMT backing in a county with limited DPP presence and a history of strong local party alignment. Her established legislative record on cross-strait issues, long-term care, and local infrastructure has sustained high favorability ratings above 50 percent. Fragmented opposition and 37 percent undecided voters leave limited room for late shifts, though a major scandal or unusually high independent turnout could still alter the outcome before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedChen Yu-jen 95%
Li Wen-liang 3.1%
Liang Wen-tao 3.1%
Yang Cheng-wu <1%
$11,437 Vol.
$11,437 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Chen Yu-jen
95%
Li Wen-liang
3%
Liang Wen-tao
3%
Yang Cheng-wu
<1%
Chen Yu-jen 95%
Li Wen-liang 3.1%
Liang Wen-tao 3.1%
Yang Cheng-wu <1%
$11,437 Vol.
$11,437 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Chen Yu-jen
$10,043 Vol.
95%
Li Wen-liang
$498 Vol.
3%
Liang Wen-tao
$309 Vol.
3%
Yang Cheng-wu
$587 Vol.
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Yu-jen, the Kuomintang nominee and sitting legislator, holds a commanding lead in the November 28, 2026, Kinmen County magistrate race, reflected in trader consensus above 90 percent. A September KMT-commissioned poll showed her at 45.4 percent support against six independents, outpacing runner-up Li Wen-liang by 34.7 points while the remaining candidates combined for under 17 percent. Party unification after former magistrate Yang Cheng-wu withdrew in early September consolidated KMT backing in a county with limited DPP presence and a history of strong local party alignment. Her established legislative record on cross-strait issues, long-term care, and local infrastructure has sustained high favorability ratings above 50 percent. Fragmented opposition and 37 percent undecided voters leave limited room for late shifts, though a major scandal or unusually high independent turnout could still alter the outcome before election day.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ET
Volume
$11,437End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Yu-jen, the Kuomintang nominee and sitting legislator, holds a commanding lead in the November 28, 2026, Kinmen County magistrate race, reflected in trader consensus above 90 percent. A September KMT-commissioned poll showed her at 45.4 percent support against six independents, outpacing runner-up Li Wen-liang by 34.7 points while the remaining candidates combined for under 17 percent. Party unification after former magistrate Yang Cheng-wu withdrew in early September consolidated KMT backing in a county with limited DPP presence and a history of strong local party alignment. Her established legislative record on cross-strait issues, long-term care, and local infrastructure has sustained high favorability ratings above 50 percent. Fragmented opposition and 37 percent undecided voters leave limited room for late shifts, though a major scandal or unusually high independent turnout could still alter the outcome before election day.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$11,437End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chen Yu-jen, the Kuomintang nominee and sitting legislator, holds a commanding lead in the November 28, 2026, Kinmen County magistrate race, reflected in trader consensus above 90 percent. A September KMT-commissioned poll showed her at 45.4 percent support against six independents, outpacing runner-up Li Wen-liang by 34.7 points while the remaining candidates combined for under 17 percent. Party unification after former magistrate Yang Cheng-wu withdrew in early September consolidated KMT backing in a county with limited DPP presence and a history of strong local party alignment. Her established legislative record on cross-strait issues, long-term care, and local infrastructure has sustained high favorability ratings above 50 percent. Fragmented opposition and 37 percent undecided voters leave limited room for late shifts, though a major scandal or unusually high independent turnout could still alter the outcome before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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