Current Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for June 21 project a minimum of 28°C under southerly flow, sunny periods, and very hot daytime conditions, aligning with the market's leading 28°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical summer patterns, above-normal seasonal temperatures from ENSO-neutral influences, and absent cooling fronts or significant rainfall keep overnight lows elevated near the 27–28°C range. Recent model consensus shows minimal day-to-day shifts, with typical June climatology (average lows ~26–27°C) reinforcing trader positioning around these thresholds while limiting odds for cooler outcomes below 26°C. Updated HKO guidance on June 20–21 remains the key near-term catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月21日香港最低气温？
6月21日香港最低气温？
27°C 45%
28°C 44%
29°C 7.5%
26°C 3.3%
最新
最新
2026-06-21
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
45%
28°C
44%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
27°C 45%
28°C 44%
29°C 7.5%
26°C 3.3%
最新
最新
2026-06-21
23°C或以下
$380 交易量
<1%
24°C
$343 交易量
1%
25°C
$444 交易量
2%
26°C
$241 交易量
3%
27°C
$609 交易量
45%
28°C
$928 交易量
44%
29°C
$285 交易量
8%
30°C
$217 交易量
1%
31°C
$364 交易量
<1%
32°C
$532 交易量
<1%
33°C或以上
$451 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for June 21 project a minimum of 28°C under southerly flow, sunny periods, and very hot daytime conditions, aligning with the market's leading 28°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical summer patterns, above-normal seasonal temperatures from ENSO-neutral influences, and absent cooling fronts or significant rainfall keep overnight lows elevated near the 27–28°C range. Recent model consensus shows minimal day-to-day shifts, with typical June climatology (average lows ~26–27°C) reinforcing trader positioning around these thresholds while limiting odds for cooler outcomes below 26°C. Updated HKO guidance on June 20–21 remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jun 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$4,795结束日期
2026-06-21市场开放时间
Jun 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for June 21 project a minimum of 28°C under southerly flow, sunny periods, and very hot daytime conditions, aligning with the market's leading 28°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical summer patterns, above-normal seasonal temperatures from ENSO-neutral influences, and absent cooling fronts or significant rainfall keep overnight lows elevated near the 27–28°C range. Recent model consensus shows minimal day-to-day shifts, with typical June climatology (average lows ~26–27°C) reinforcing trader positioning around these thresholds while limiting odds for cooler outcomes below 26°C. Updated HKO guidance on June 20–21 remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$4,795结束日期
2026-06-21市场开放时间
Jun 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for June 21 project a minimum of 28°C under southerly flow, sunny periods, and very hot daytime conditions, aligning with the market's leading 28°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical summer patterns, above-normal seasonal temperatures from ENSO-neutral influences, and absent cooling fronts or significant rainfall keep overnight lows elevated near the 27–28°C range. Recent model consensus shows minimal day-to-day shifts, with typical June climatology (average lows ~26–27°C) reinforcing trader positioning around these thresholds while limiting odds for cooler outcomes below 26°C. Updated HKO guidance on June 20–21 remains the key near-term catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题