**Trader sentiment centers on short-term forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicating an overnight minimum of 26–27°C for June 19 amid persistent southwest monsoon influences and scattered showers.** These conditions promote high humidity and cloud cover that suppress radiative cooling, anchoring lows near or slightly above climatological norms for mid-June. Recent model consensus and the resolution of similar nearby markets at 25°C highlight how even modest increases in cloudiness or rainfall can differentiate between 26°C and 27°C outcomes. With probabilities closely split, traders weigh the latest guidance on steering patterns and moisture levels expected in the final 48-hour window before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月19日香港最低气温?
26°C 37%
27°C 32%
28°C 16%
25°C 5%
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
37%
27°C
32%
28°C
16%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C或以上
<1%
26°C 37%
27°C 32%
28°C 16%
25°C 5%
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
37%
27°C
32%
28°C
16%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment centers on short-term forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicating an overnight minimum of 26–27°C for June 19 amid persistent southwest monsoon influences and scattered showers.** These conditions promote high humidity and cloud cover that suppress radiative cooling, anchoring lows near or slightly above climatological norms for mid-June. Recent model consensus and the resolution of similar nearby markets at 25°C highlight how even modest increases in cloudiness or rainfall can differentiate between 26°C and 27°C outcomes. With probabilities closely split, traders weigh the latest guidance on steering patterns and moisture levels expected in the final 48-hour window before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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