Persistent cloud cover and showers expected overnight into June 18 are limiting radiative cooling, positioning the Hong Kong Observatory forecast minimum near 25–26°C amid typical early-summer humidity levels above 80 percent. Model consensus from regional guidance supports these thresholds, consistent with June climatology where overnight lows rarely fall below 25°C without clear, dry conditions. Recent days have shown similar suppression of temperature drops, reinforcing trader focus on the 25°C and 26°C brackets that together exceed 80 percent implied probability. Updated local forecasts or any shift toward clearer skies could adjust these odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月18日香港最低气温?
26°C 50%
25°C 32%
27°C 13%
28°C 3.1%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
32%
26°C
50%
27°C
13%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
26°C 50%
25°C 32%
27°C 13%
28°C 3.1%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
32%
26°C
50%
27°C
13%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and showers expected overnight into June 18 are limiting radiative cooling, positioning the Hong Kong Observatory forecast minimum near 25–26°C amid typical early-summer humidity levels above 80 percent. Model consensus from regional guidance supports these thresholds, consistent with June climatology where overnight lows rarely fall below 25°C without clear, dry conditions. Recent days have shown similar suppression of temperature drops, reinforcing trader focus on the 25°C and 26°C brackets that together exceed 80 percent implied probability. Updated local forecasts or any shift toward clearer skies could adjust these odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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