Recent Met Office forecasts for London point to overnight minimum temperatures of 17–18°C on June 19, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes amid a transitional weather pattern. A building ridge of high pressure across southern England is promoting clearer skies and reduced cloud cover, which allows for greater nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds, while daytime maxima are projected to reach 26–29°C. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread in low temperatures due to stable synoptic conditions, though small variations in wind speed or residual humidity could shift the minimum by 1°C. Historical June climatology for central London places average overnight lows near 12–14°C, making the current outlook mildly above normal and keeping probabilities for 16°C or lower subdued. Updated model runs and official guidance expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月19日伦敦最低气温?
14°C或以下 35%
18°C 34%
19°C 33%
17°C 20%
14°C或以下
35%
15°C
6%
16°C
18%
17°C
20%
18°C
34%
19°C
33%
20°C
18%
21°C
18%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C或更高
1%
14°C或以下 35%
18°C 34%
19°C 33%
17°C 20%
14°C或以下
35%
15°C
6%
16°C
18%
17°C
20%
18°C
34%
19°C
33%
20°C
18%
21°C
18%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office forecasts for London point to overnight minimum temperatures of 17–18°C on June 19, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes amid a transitional weather pattern. A building ridge of high pressure across southern England is promoting clearer skies and reduced cloud cover, which allows for greater nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds, while daytime maxima are projected to reach 26–29°C. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread in low temperatures due to stable synoptic conditions, though small variations in wind speed or residual humidity could shift the minimum by 1°C. Historical June climatology for central London places average overnight lows near 12–14°C, making the current outlook mildly above normal and keeping probabilities for 16°C or lower subdued. Updated model runs and official guidance expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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