Recent forecasts indicate an intensifying heatwave across northern France, with models from MeteoArt and Meteored projecting daytime highs near 37°C in Paris on June 19 and overnight lows around 23°C. This elevated minimum stems from persistent high pressure suppressing nocturnal cooling and advecting warmer air masses, shifting trader focus toward the 23°C outcome now at 36.5% implied probability. Historical June lows average near 13–14°C, underscoring how anomalous current conditions appear. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution, with any southward shift in the thermal ridge potentially allowing slightly cooler readings near 22°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月19日巴黎最低气温?
22°C 37%
23°C 30%
21℃ 18%
24°C 16%
19°C或以下
8%
20°C
7%
21℃
18%
22°C
26%
23°C
30%
24°C
16%
25℃
4%
26°C
5%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C或更高
1%
22°C 37%
23°C 30%
21℃ 18%
24°C 16%
19°C或以下
8%
20°C
7%
21℃
18%
22°C
26%
23°C
30%
24°C
16%
25℃
4%
26°C
5%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts indicate an intensifying heatwave across northern France, with models from MeteoArt and Meteored projecting daytime highs near 37°C in Paris on June 19 and overnight lows around 23°C. This elevated minimum stems from persistent high pressure suppressing nocturnal cooling and advecting warmer air masses, shifting trader focus toward the 23°C outcome now at 36.5% implied probability. Historical June lows average near 13–14°C, underscoring how anomalous current conditions appear. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution, with any southward shift in the thermal ridge potentially allowing slightly cooler readings near 22°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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