**Elevated overnight lows driven by an advancing heatwave position 18–19°C as the clear market leaders for Paris’s June 18 minimum temperature.** Météo-France and supporting models indicate a rapid thermal rise across Île-de-France, with Thursday marking the heatwave peak: daytime maxima near 36°C under clear skies and light winds (5–33 km/h) that limit nocturnal cooling. This setup keeps the overnight low anchored around 20°C, shifting probability mass toward the 18°C and 19°C buckets that together command over two-thirds of market-implied odds. Climatological June minima average 12–13°C, so the current anomaly reflects persistent high pressure and southerly flow rather than typical early-summer variability. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the next Météo-France update and any late-model consensus shifts will be the final inputs traders weigh before the official observation is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月18日巴黎最低气温？
6月18日巴黎最低气温？
18°C 43%
19°C 30%
17°C 9%
20°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-06-18
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
9%
18°C
43%
19°C
30%
20°C
9%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C或更高
1%
18°C 43%
19°C 30%
17°C 9%
20°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-06-18
13°C或以下
$15 交易量
<1%
14°C
$336 交易量
1%
15°C
$253 交易量
1%
16°C
$108 交易量
1%
17°C
$20 交易量
9%
18°C
$175 交易量
43%
19°C
$216 交易量
30%
20°C
$189 交易量
9%
21°C
$113 交易量
<1%
22°C
$110 交易量
1%
23°C或更高
$550 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Elevated overnight lows driven by an advancing heatwave position 18–19°C as the clear market leaders for Paris’s June 18 minimum temperature.**
Météo-France and supporting models indicate a rapid thermal rise across Île-de-France, with Thursday marking the heatwave peak: daytime maxima near 36°C under clear skies and light winds (5–33 km/h) that limit nocturnal cooling. This setup keeps the overnight low anchored around 20°C, shifting probability mass toward the 18°C and 19°C buckets that together command over two-thirds of market-implied odds.
Climatological June minima average 12–13°C, so the current anomaly reflects persistent high pressure and southerly flow rather than typical early-summer variability. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the next Météo-France update and any late-model consensus shifts will be the final inputs traders weigh before the official observation is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,084结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Elevated overnight lows driven by an advancing heatwave position 18–19°C as the clear market leaders for Paris’s June 18 minimum temperature.**
Météo-France and supporting models indicate a rapid thermal rise across Île-de-France, with Thursday marking the heatwave peak: daytime maxima near 36°C under clear skies and light winds (5–33 km/h) that limit nocturnal cooling. This setup keeps the overnight low anchored around 20°C, shifting probability mass toward the 18°C and 19°C buckets that together command over two-thirds of market-implied odds.
Climatological June minima average 12–13°C, so the current anomaly reflects persistent high pressure and southerly flow rather than typical early-summer variability. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the next Météo-France update and any late-model consensus shifts will be the final inputs traders weigh before the official observation is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,084结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Elevated overnight lows driven by an advancing heatwave position 18–19°C as the clear market leaders for Paris’s June 18 minimum temperature.** Météo-France and supporting models indicate a rapid thermal rise across Île-de-France, with Thursday marking the heatwave peak: daytime maxima near 36°C under clear skies and light winds (5–33 km/h) that limit nocturnal cooling. This setup keeps the overnight low anchored around 20°C, shifting probability mass toward the 18°C and 19°C buckets that together command over two-thirds of market-implied odds. Climatological June minima average 12–13°C, so the current anomaly reflects persistent high pressure and southerly flow rather than typical early-summer variability. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the next Météo-France update and any late-model consensus shifts will be the final inputs traders weigh before the official observation is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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