Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate overnight lows in Seoul on June 19 most likely settling between 19–20 °C, driven by typical early-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Higher dew points associated with rising humidity limit the temperature drop after sunset, while any increase in cloud cover or wind would further suppress minimum readings by reducing net longwave heat loss. Model spread remains modest at this short lead time, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any weak frontal passage or localized showers that could alter nocturnal boundary-layer stability. Historical climatology for mid-June places average lows near 18–19 °C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the narrow 19–20 °C band ahead of updated model runs expected within the next 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月19日首尔最低气温?
20°C 35%
19°C 34%
21°C 27%
23°C 5.2%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
4%
17°C
5%
18°C
4%
19°C
34%
20°C
35%
21°C
27%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
5%
25°C或更高
1%
20°C 35%
19°C 34%
21°C 27%
23°C 5.2%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
4%
17°C
5%
18°C
4%
19°C
34%
20°C
35%
21°C
27%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
5%
25°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate overnight lows in Seoul on June 19 most likely settling between 19–20 °C, driven by typical early-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Higher dew points associated with rising humidity limit the temperature drop after sunset, while any increase in cloud cover or wind would further suppress minimum readings by reducing net longwave heat loss. Model spread remains modest at this short lead time, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any weak frontal passage or localized showers that could alter nocturnal boundary-layer stability. Historical climatology for mid-June places average lows near 18–19 °C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the narrow 19–20 °C band ahead of updated model runs expected within the next 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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