Recent extended forecasts for Shanghai point to thundershowers and persistent cloud cover on June 19, supporting an expected overnight low near 25°C and concentrating trader attention on the narrow 23–25°C band. Key variables include the exact timing and intensity of rainfall, which can suppress radiative cooling and elevate minimum temperatures, alongside humidity levels near 80% and light wind patterns that limit nocturnal temperature drops. Model consensus remains moderate given typical June plum-rain variability, with any clearer skies or delayed precipitation potentially allowing the low to reach 24°C or below while stronger storms could hold it at or above 25°C. Updated model runs and official observations closer to the date will likely refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月19日上海最低气温?
24°C 33%
25°C 22%
23°C 20%
26°C 8%
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
20%
24°C
33%
25°C
15%
26°C
8%
27°C
5%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
24°C 33%
25°C 22%
23°C 20%
26°C 8%
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
20%
24°C
33%
25°C
15%
26°C
8%
27°C
5%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent extended forecasts for Shanghai point to thundershowers and persistent cloud cover on June 19, supporting an expected overnight low near 25°C and concentrating trader attention on the narrow 23–25°C band. Key variables include the exact timing and intensity of rainfall, which can suppress radiative cooling and elevate minimum temperatures, alongside humidity levels near 80% and light wind patterns that limit nocturnal temperature drops. Model consensus remains moderate given typical June plum-rain variability, with any clearer skies or delayed precipitation potentially allowing the low to reach 24°C or below while stronger storms could hold it at or above 25°C. Updated model runs and official observations closer to the date will likely refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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