Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows most likely settling between 22–24°C on June 18 amid the mei-yu monsoon regime, with persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers limiting radiative cooling overnight. Model consensus from regional guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability in steering flow and boundary-layer moisture, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around these values and explaining the near-even market-implied odds among the top three outcomes. Subtle differences in forecast timing of any clearing or rainfall intensity could shift the minimum by 1°C either way, while climatological baselines for mid-June place typical lows near 21–23°C under similar synoptic patterns. Updated model runs and observational data from the next 24 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月18日上海最低气温?
24°C 39%
23°C 31%
22°C 25.0%
25°C 4.3%
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
25%
23°C
31%
24°C
39%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
24°C 39%
23°C 31%
22°C 25.0%
25°C 4.3%
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
25%
23°C
31%
24°C
39%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows most likely settling between 22–24°C on June 18 amid the mei-yu monsoon regime, with persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers limiting radiative cooling overnight. Model consensus from regional guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability in steering flow and boundary-layer moisture, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around these values and explaining the near-even market-implied odds among the top three outcomes. Subtle differences in forecast timing of any clearing or rainfall intensity could shift the minimum by 1°C either way, while climatological baselines for mid-June place typical lows near 21–23°C under similar synoptic patterns. Updated model runs and observational data from the next 24 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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