Recent Met Office forecasts highlight building high pressure and warm southerly flow across southern England, sustaining above-average overnight minima into the June 21 weekend amid a broader heat episode with daytime peaks potentially reaching the low 30s. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustered near 18–19 °C, aligning with the market’s tightest probabilities, as reduced radiative cooling under hazy or partly cloudy skies limits drops compared with typical June values around 12–14 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to variable cloud and light winds, keeping lower outcomes (17 °C or below) and higher ones (20 °C+) as secondary possibilities while the current warm anomaly dominates trader positioning ahead of the next model updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月21日伦敦最低气温?
19°C 41%
18°C 35%
17°C 6%
20°C 5.5%
15°C或以下
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
6%
18°C
35%
19°C
41%
20°C
12%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
19°C 41%
18°C 35%
17°C 6%
20°C 5.5%
15°C或以下
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
6%
18°C
35%
19°C
41%
20°C
12%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office forecasts highlight building high pressure and warm southerly flow across southern England, sustaining above-average overnight minima into the June 21 weekend amid a broader heat episode with daytime peaks potentially reaching the low 30s. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustered near 18–19 °C, aligning with the market’s tightest probabilities, as reduced radiative cooling under hazy or partly cloudy skies limits drops compared with typical June values around 12–14 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to variable cloud and light winds, keeping lower outcomes (17 °C or below) and higher ones (20 °C+) as secondary possibilities while the current warm anomaly dominates trader positioning ahead of the next model updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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