Recent weather model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to a cooling trend across central Anatolia, driven by increased cloud cover and northeasterly flow moderating daytime heating ahead of June 19. This has shifted implied probabilities toward a maximum temperature of 22–24°C in Ankara, with 23°C narrowly leading as ensembles cluster around that value. Minor spreads between 22°C and 24°C outcomes reflect typical short-range forecast uncertainty from variables such as boundary-layer moisture and exact frontal timing, while historical June averages near 25–26°C underscore the current anomaly. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours could further refine these tightly bunched trader odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on June 19?
Highest temperature in Ankara on June 19?
23°C 31%
22°C 27%
24°C 21.4%
21°C or below 18%
最新
最新
2026-06-19
21°C or below
18%
22°C
27%
23°C
31%
24°C
21%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
23°C 31%
22°C 27%
24°C 21.4%
21°C or below 18%
最新
最新
2026-06-19
21°C or below
$1,331 交易量
18%
22°C
$1,157 交易量
27%
23°C
$1,118 交易量
31%
24°C
$1,011 交易量
21%
25°C
$412 交易量
4%
26°C
$459 交易量
1%
27°C
$380 交易量
<1%
28°C
$272 交易量
<1%
29°C
$356 交易量
<1%
30°C
$306 交易量
<1%
31°C or higher
$306 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to a cooling trend across central Anatolia, driven by increased cloud cover and northeasterly flow moderating daytime heating ahead of June 19. This has shifted implied probabilities toward a maximum temperature of 22–24°C in Ankara, with 23°C narrowly leading as ensembles cluster around that value. Minor spreads between 22°C and 24°C outcomes reflect typical short-range forecast uncertainty from variables such as boundary-layer moisture and exact frontal timing, while historical June averages near 25–26°C underscore the current anomaly. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours could further refine these tightly bunched trader odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 17, 2026, 2:02 AM ET
交易量
$7,090结束日期
2026-06-19市场开放时间
Jun 17, 2026, 2:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to a cooling trend across central Anatolia, driven by increased cloud cover and northeasterly flow moderating daytime heating ahead of June 19. This has shifted implied probabilities toward a maximum temperature of 22–24°C in Ankara, with 23°C narrowly leading as ensembles cluster around that value. Minor spreads between 22°C and 24°C outcomes reflect typical short-range forecast uncertainty from variables such as boundary-layer moisture and exact frontal timing, while historical June averages near 25–26°C underscore the current anomaly. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours could further refine these tightly bunched trader odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,090结束日期
2026-06-19市场开放时间
Jun 17, 2026, 2:02 AM ETRecent weather model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to a cooling trend across central Anatolia, driven by increased cloud cover and northeasterly flow moderating daytime heating ahead of June 19. This has shifted implied probabilities toward a maximum temperature of 22–24°C in Ankara, with 23°C narrowly leading as ensembles cluster around that value. Minor spreads between 22°C and 24°C outcomes reflect typical short-range forecast uncertainty from variables such as boundary-layer moisture and exact frontal timing, while historical June averages near 25–26°C underscore the current anomaly. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours could further refine these tightly bunched trader odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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